Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Know Your Opponent: Georgia

This Saturday the Gators play their oldest rival, the Bulldogs of the University of Georgia. As is tradition in the rivalry, the Gators and Bulldogs will play at a neutral location in Jacksonville, Florida. The University of Georgia officially lists its establishment date as 1785, although the first class was not held until 1801. The university now enrolls over 34,000 students (including over 26,000 undergrads). Georgia’s school colors are red and black.

Georgia's three-game winning streak over Florida is the
longest among Florida's annual rivals. The last Gator victory,
which came in 2010, was clinched with a game-winning field
goal by punter Chas Henry. Reminisce that game through my 
previous post on Gator overtime games.
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images
The Georgia Bulldogs possess one of the oldest and most successful traditions in the history of college football. Georgia began playing football in 1892 and became a charter member of the Southeastern Conference in 1933. Georgia has won 12 SEC championships (behind only Alabama and Tennessee), winning its first in 1942 and its most recent in 2005. The Bulldogs play home games “between the hedges” in Sanford Stadium, which can seat around 93,000 fans.

Georgia claims to have won five national championships, although only one (1980) was awarded by the AP. Georgia has produced two Heisman winners (Frank Sinkwich in 1942 and Herschel Walker in 1982). Its 1980 national title squad finished its season with a perfect 12-0 record and a victory over Notre Dame in the Sugar Bowl. Earlier in the season, playing Florida, the Bulldogs were on their own seven-yard-line and trailing the Gators 21-20 with time running out. Suddenly, Georgia’s quarterback finds receiver Lindsay Scott wide open near the 25-yard-line. Scott improbably manages to sprint past Florida’s defenders, complete the 93-yard play, and win the game for Georgia, 26-21.

The Gators and Bulldogs first met on the gridiron in 1915 and have played almost every year since (annually since 1944). Florida and Georgia have played a total of 91 games against another; Georgia is Florida’s most frequently played opponent while Florida is Georgia’s third most frequently played opponent (after Auburn and Georgia Tech). Georgia leads the rivalry with 49 wins (Florida has 40 victories and two games ended as ties). Florida has defeated Georgia more frequently than any other Gator opponent other than Kentucky and has been defeated by Georgia more frequently than any other opponent. Of Bulldog opponents, only Auburn has defeated Georgia more frequently than Florida. The rivalry was dominated by Georgia throughout its first 75 years. By 1989, Georgia was leading this series with a commanding 43 wins and only 22 losses. However, in the succeeding two decades, Georgia would only win three games to Florida’s 17. Steve Spurrier lost just one game to Georgia during his 12-year tenure as Florida head coach (the next two coaches, Zook and Meyer, would also lose just one game each to the Dawgs). Will Muschamp has matched the combined loss total of his three predecessors, having lost three times in three attempts.

The Florida-Georgia rivalry is among the few in major college football to be traditionally played at a neutral site. On every occasion except twice since 1933, the Gators and Bulldogs have met in Jacksonville, Florida (the exceptions being 1994 and 1995, when the new stadium was being built in Jacksonville). The rivalry had previously been known as “The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party” until both schools agreed to suppress the use of the moniker.

Rather than utilize an original fight song, the University of Georgia prefers one of the most repetitive songs in college sports, “Glory, Glory”. The song is a simplified version of "The Battle Hymn of the Republic".

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Saturday Predictions: Week 10

They may have a great defense, but do the Cardinals have
what it takes to knock off the undefeated Seminoles?
Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Oh. Good. Lord. What a week of football we have ahead of us. And my predictions... well, let's say that you shouldn't expect me to match last week's record. I've made predictions for 25 games this week, but I'm only confident I'll get at least 11 right. Those other 14 games could go either way, as far as I can tell, so I'll be more than satisfied if I predict 18 games correctly. There will be great games all across the country, but let's start with the Thursday-night game in Louisville...

Florida State is coming into the birdhouse as one of only three undefeated teams in the nation. They have the game's longest win streak and a quarterback who has never lost a college game. So why should you suspect they might lose? Well, as good as they are, they look as flawed as any of the national contenders. The running game is a major weakness, especially with the absence of Karlos Williams, though they have successfully compensated with a competent passing attack. The defense has been good, for the most part. In the end, the play of Jameis Winston and the Noles defense has always saved the day for Florida State. In this way, they resemble Cam Newton and the 2010 Auburn Tigers. Those Tigers struggled through the first half of the season, relying on Newton and their defense to be their saviors, but transformed into a truly dominant team by late October. This year's Seminoles may make a similar turn beginning Thursday.

Or they might not. Louisville has not just the best defense in the ACC, but one of the best in the country. The Cardinals have yet to surrender more than 23 points in a game. Their offense is more average, though they have a pair of reliable receivers with Eli Rogers and the fortuitously-named James Quick. Florida State has not been particularly impressive when playing away from home. FSU had measurable difficulties putting away Oklahoma State and NC State, two average teams, away from Tallahassee. Escaping Louisville with a win might become FSU's most impressive feat this season.

Another loss to his alma mater would mark Muschamp's
fourth in four years. His three predecessors (Spurrier, Zook,
and Meyer), who coached over a span of 20 years, only lost
three times combined to the Dawgs. Rob Foldy
While Florida State faces Louisville as a slight favorite, the Florida Gators enter Jacksonville as two-touchdown underdogs. Georgia appears to be the best team in the SEC East by some margin, while the Gators look just as bad as last years 4-8 team. I'm predicting Florida will win because, well, that's my rule on this blog (I always pick the Gators to win). To win, Treon Harris must avoid the errors that plagued his predecessor and probably make some plays of his own. The Gator defense must find some way to limit Georgia's fantastic running back, Nick Chubb (that's assuming Todd Gurley remains ineligible). The quality of Georgia's running attack has not declined since Gurley left the field. In addition, if the Gators hope to win, they will need to force two or three more turnovers than Georgia does (an improbable task). The Bulldogs seek their fourth consecutive victory over the Gators, though each of the last three games came by a margin no greater than one score.

Kentucky, probably confident coming off a respectable show against Mississippi State last week, will take on Missouri in Columbia. This game could likely go either way; the winner will gain a theoretical advantage in SEC East competition (though few expect either to actually compete with Georgia). The big game of the week will again be played in Oxford and again feature the Ole Miss Rebels. It is probable that both the Rebels and their opponents, the Auburn Tigers, have the talent and the ability to win a national championship. However, only one team can come away with the win and an important edge in the SEC West and, by proxy, national title race. What we will certainly see is a match-up between two of the greatest units in the nation: Ole Miss's defense and Auburn's offense.

Going north, we should expect a great game between the West Virginia Mountaineers and the TCU Horned Frogs in Morgantown. If these two teams combine for 80 points, that will be a more low-scoring outcome. Arizona will challenge UCLA in Pasedena in a critical Pac-12 South match-up. Soon afterwards, Utah will face Arizona State in Tempe; the winner takes de facto leadership (or co-leadership, if Arizona holds off UCLA) in the Pac-12 South.

So come Saturday, sit down, buckle up, and enjoy the madness of late October in college football!

State of Florida:
  • Louisville (6-2) over #2 Florida State (7-0), 34-27
  • Florida (3-3) over #9 Georgia (6-1), 24-20
  • FIU (3-5) over Rice (4-3), 34-28
  • UCF (5-2) over Connecticut (1-6), 34-10
  • Miami (5-3) over North Carolina (4-4), 38-24
  • Houston (4-3) over South Florida (3-5), 24-17
  • Florida Atlantic (3-5) over UAB (4-4), 31-30
Southeastern Conference:
  • Texas A&M (5-3) over Louisiana-Monroe (3-4), 48-17
  • Kentucky (5-3) over Missouri (6-2), 31-24
  • #7 Mississippi (7-1) over #4 Auburn (6-1), 31-21
  • Old Dominion (3-5) over Vanderbilt (2-6), 42-38
  • #1 Mississippi State (7-0) over Arkansas (4-4), 48-31
  • South Carolina (4-4) over Tennessee (3-5), 42-34
  • #3 Alabama (7-1), BYE
  • #16 LSU (7-2), BYE
Top 25:
  • #5 Oregon (7-1) over Stanford (5-3), 27-13
  • #6 Notre Dame (6-1) over Navy (4-4), 41-21
  • #20 West Virginia (6-2) over #10 TCU (6-1), 44-41
  • #11 Kansas State (6-1) over Oklahoma State (5-3), 31-13
  • #12 Baylor (6-1) over Kansas (2-5), 52-21
  • #13 Ohio State (6-1) over Illinois (4-4), 45-21
  • #14 Arizona (6-1) over #25 UCLA (6-2), 38-31
  • #15 Arizona State (6-1) over #18 Utah (6-1), 20-17
  • #17 Nebraska (7-1) over Purdue (3-5), 38-20
  • #19 Oklahoma (5-2) over Iowa State (2-5), 45-27
  • #21 East Carolina (6-1) over Temple (4-3), 31-27
  • #24 Duke (6-1) over Pittsburgh (4-4), 27-20
  • #8 Michigan State (7-1), BYE
  • #22 Clemson (6-2), BYE
  • #23 Marshall (8-0), BYE

Monday, October 27, 2014

Saturday in Review: Week 9

Despite a 10-7 loss late in October, the Rebels are almost
assured a spot in the playoffs if they manage to run the table.
Easier said than done. Crystal LoGiudice-USA TODAY Sports
Now that is why you set low expectations for a weekend of college football. You'll get blown away just about every time.

I was right about the Pac-12 – it had as many hard-fought games as I expected even though each match was won by the higher-ranked team. The action out west began when UCLA came to Boulder to face Colorado. A frantic fourth-quarter-comeback by the Buffaloes sent the game into overtime, but the Bruins, who have a penchant for winning close ones, were ultimately able to hold off the home team. Of the eight games UCLA has played, six have been decided by a margin no greater than one score. Of those six, only one was a loss (Utah). A touchdown late in the fourth spoiled Washington's upset bid of Arizona State in Seattle. An even later touchdown (with only eight seconds left!) sealed the victory for Utah over USC.

Some ranked teams, like Clemson and East Carolina, had a harder time than most expected. Up 17-0 at the half, most would have expected an easy victory for Ohio State in Happy Valley. Despite the deficit, the Nittany Lions didn't give up. They shut out the Buckeyes in the second half while scoring 17 of their own points. In overtime, Ohio State's ground attack proved more reliable than Penn State's air raid, as the Buckeyes came out with the win. West Virginia was not one of those teams that struggled, as they rolled Oklahoma State in Stillwater.

The SEC was a most pleasant surprises last weekend. Kentucky and Vanderbilt gave Mississippi State and Missouri a fight before the superior teams pulled away in the second halves. An inspired South Carolina team almost shocked the nation in Auburn, though the Tiger defense stepped up when their team needed them most. And what of the rivalry game between Ole Miss and LSU that was so hyped coming into Saturday? Turned out as yet another classic this season has provided us. LSU overcame four turnovers to down the #3 Rebels in Baton Rouge. Still, the Rebels, along with Mississippi State, control their destiny in the West. Unlike Auburn and Alabama, the Mississippi schools will win the division championship if they run they table (and of course that's a big if). Expect the West divisional race to be very exciting over the coming month.

State of Florida:
  • Virginia Tech (4-4) over Miami (5-3), 30-27 30-6
  • Cincinnati (4-3) over South Florida (3-5), 34-31 34-17
  • #23 Marshall (8-0) over Florida Atlantic (3-5), 49-10 35-16
  • UCF (5-2) over Temple (4-3), 23-17 34-10
  • FIU (3-5), BYE
  • Florida (3-3), BYE
  • #2 Florida State (7-0), BYE
Southeastern Conference:
  • Arkansas (4-4) over UAB (4-4), 38-17 45-17
  • #1 Mississippi State (7-0) over Kentucky (5-3), 45-10 45-31
  • Missouri (6-2) over Vanderbilt (2-6), 34-17 24-14
  • #3 Mississippi (7-1) over #24 LSU (7-2), 27-17 10-7
  • #5 Auburn (6-1) over South Carolina (4-4), 48-21 42-35
  • #4 Alabama (7-1) over Tennessee (3-5), 42-10 34-20
  • #9 Georgia (6-1), BYE
  • Texas A&M (5-3), BYE
Top 25:
  • #6 Oregon (7-1) over California (4-4), 38-14 59-41
  • #8 Michigan State (7-1) over Michigan (3-5), 45-20 35-11
  • #10 TCU (6-1) over Texas Tech (3-5), 45-10 82-27
  • #11 Kansas State (6-1) over Texas (3-5), 38-16 23-0
  • #13 Ohio State (6-1) over Penn State (4-3), 45-10 31-24 (OT)
  • Washington (5-3) over #14 Arizona State (6-1), 27-24 24-10
  • Washington State (2-6) over #15 Arizona (6-1), 52-49 59-37
  • #16 Nebraska (7-1) over Rutgers (5-3), 41-24 42-24
  • #18 East Carolina (6-1) over Connecticut (1-6), 38-10 31-21
  • #19 Utah (6-1) over #20 USC (5-3), 31-28 24-21
  • #21 Clemson (6-2) over Syracuse (3-5), 42-20 16-6
  • #22 West Virginia (6-2) over Oklahoma State (5-3), 38-37 34-10
  • #25 UCLA (6-2) over Colorado (2-6), 45-21 40-37 (OT)
  • #7 Notre Dame (6-1), BYE
  • #12 Baylor (6-1), BYE
  • #17 Oklahoma (5-2), BYE
Week 9 Record: 19-4 (83%)
Season Record: 117-40 (75%)

Thursday, October 23, 2014

Saturday Predictions: Week 9

The Ole Miss rebels are the only top-team expected to face a
test this weekend. Can the Rebel defense keep the Tigers at
bay? Spruce Derden-USA TODAY Sports
You might find the lack of many titanic Top 25 match-ups this weekend a little disappointing. Don't worry, it won't be all bad and I expect the playoff-race to truly ignite this following week. And we do have #3 Mississippi and #24 LSU. Ole Miss is, perhaps surprisingly, only a slight favorite going into Death Valley. However, if they expect to win, the Tigers will need to find some way to score against possibly the best defense in college football. Or hope the Rebels make a lot of mistakes (which certainly is no given). The Rebels can drastically reduce LSU's chances if they manage to thwart the Tiger running game. Outside this game, nothing terribly interesting is going on in the SEC.

The only other game between two Top 25 teams features #19 Utah and #20 USC. Even in Salt Lake City, the Trojans are just the slightest of favorites. But this one's really a toss-up, as far as I see it (though for me, picking these Pac-12 games is usually the hardest). Both teams only have one loss in the Pac-12 South, so getting a win here could have tremendous implications.

Elsewhere in the Pac-12, the two Arizona schools are visiting the two Washington schools. Both the Wildcats and Sun Devils are ranked while the Huskies and Cougars are not. I'm picking both upsets but I'm certainly not confident. We'll see if at least one of the northern teams can get the win at home.

Could be tough sledding for those Florida teams that are actually playing this week (three are off on byes). And not just because Floridians aren't too familiar with sleds. It should be quite tough for South Florida to pull off their second consecutive (upset) road win against Cincinnati and impossible for Florida Atlantic to knock off Marshall. UCF could have a tougher-than-expected game against Temple and Miami will have to contend with the Hokies in Lane Stadium.

Look out for those "hidden gem"-type games and let's hope for an exciting Saturday of football!

State of Florida:
  • Virginia Tech (4-3) over Miami (4-3), 30-27
  • Cincinnati (3-3) over South Florida (3-4), 34-31
  • #23 Marshall (7-0) over Florida Atlantic (3-4), 49-10
  • UCF (4-2) over Temple (4-2), 23-17
  • FIU (3-5), BYE
  • Florida (3-3), BYE
  • #2 Florida State (7-0), BYE
Southeastern Conference:
  • Arkansas (3-4) over UAB (4-3), 38-17
  • #1 Mississippi State (6-0) over Kentucky (5-2), 45-10
  • Missouri (5-2) over Vanderbilt (2-5), 34-17
  • #3 Mississippi (7-0) over #24 LSU (6-2), 27-17
  • #5 Auburn (5-1) over South Carolina (4-3), 48-21
  • #4 Alabama (6-1) over Tennessee (3-4), 42-10
  • #9 Georgia (6-1), BYE
  • Texas A&M (5-3), BYE
Top 25:
  • #6 Oregon (6-1) over California (4-3), 38-14
  • #8 Michigan State (6-1) over Michigan (3-4), 45-20
  • #10 TCU (5-1) over Texas Tech (3-4), 45-10
  • #11 Kansas State (5-1) over Texas (3-4), 38-16
  • #13 Ohio State (5-1) over Penn State (4-2), 45-10
  • Washington (5-2) over #14 Arizona State (5-1), 27-24
  • Washington State (2-5) over #15 Arizona (5-1), 52-49
  • #16 Nebraska (6-1) over Rutgers (5-2), 41-24
  • #18 East Carolina (5-1) over Connecticut (1-5), 38-10
  • #19 Utah (5-1) over #20 USC (5-2), 31-28
  • #21 Clemson (5-2) over Syracuse (3-4), 42-20
  • #22 West Virginia (5-2) over Oklahoma State (5-2), 38-37
  • #25 UCLA (5-2) over Colorado (2-5), 45-21
  • #7 Notre Dame (6-1), BYE
  • #12 Baylor (6-1), BYE
  • #17 Oklahoma (5-2), BYE

Monday, October 20, 2014

Saturday in Review: Week 8

Well, that was quite a weekend despite the lower-than-average number of exciting games. Most games proceeded and concluded as I expected or close to my predictions. Events in the state of Florida were particularly consequential...

First, South Florida rallied from a 20-point halftime deficit to defeat the Golden Hurricane in Tulsa. The improbable comeback secured a much needed victory for the Bulls as they still seek to become bowl-eligible for the first time since 2010. Meanwhile, UCF's defense held back Tulane to give the Knight's their fourth win of the season. Despite being down 10 points starting the final quarter, Florida Atlantic managed to shock Western Kentucky in Boca Raton. FIU lost, as expected, to the unbeaten Thundering Herd.

One may be hard-pressed to locate any Florida fan living
outside a mental asylum that continues to support the
employment of Will Muschamp as a head coach. Rob Foldy
The Florida Gators were the only other team from the state of Florida that managed to lose this weekend. And what a loss it was. Unfortunately, Will Muschamp's tenure at Florida will be long remembered for its collection of historic losses and colossal disappointments. The Gators' 29-point margin-of-defeat was the largest at home to an unranked opponent since a 37-6 loss to LSU in 1967. The game began with Mizzou returning the opening kickoff for a touchdown (the first touchdown Florida has allowed on a kickoff return since Ted Ginn ran one back in the '06 championship game). Unlike that night in Arizona, things would only get worse for the Gators as homecoming night dragged on. Florida went on to allow a punt return, interception return, and fumble return – all for touchdowns (the rare "Grand Slam" of touchdown returns in football). It was an embarrassing exhibition of total and complete incompetence by every member of the coaching staff excluding the defense. Surely, the death knell has rung for Jeff Driskel's career as a Florida quarterback. The quarterback's performance could be simply described as abysmal. Driskel was responsible for four of his team's six turnovers. Inexplicably, the coaches continued to send the poor quarterback onto the field long after his utter futility was blatantly apparent. It did not help that the offensive line played as poorly as they have all season. As fury envelopes the Gator fanbase, one can reasonably expect major changes in Florida's imminent future.

Unusually, the Oregon Ducks wore their school colors.
Their 45-20 victory over Washington marked their 11th
straight in the border-rivalry. Scott Olmos-USA TODAY Sports
Up in Tallahassee, the Seminoles managed to survive against the Fighting Irish in a classic battle of football titans. Like I expected, this was a meeting between two equally-matched, elite teams that came down to the final seconds. The outcome would likely have been different in any other location than Doak Campbell Stadium. It is not beyond likelihood that these two teams will meet again in the playoffs.

A few things happened outside Florida. Every SEC game was decided by at least 12 points and Florida was the only favorite to lose. Thanks to a blocked PAT and missed chip-shot, Kansas State pulled off the upset against against the Sooners in Norman. One of the preseason favorites to win it all, Oklahoma now appears to be out of contention for the national title after this second loss (an all-too-familiar tale for Sooner fans). Oregon blasted Washington, taking control of the Pac-12 North as Stanford faltered once again. West Virginia cut short Baylor's undefeated season, limiting the number of currently unbeaten teams to four (Florida State, Marshall, Mississippi, and Mississippi State). Strangely, it's now Utah, Arizona, and Arizona State (all 5-1) that are the teams to beat in the Pac-12 South.

State of Florida:
  • South Florida (3-4) over Tulsa (1-6), 20-17 38-30
  • UCF (4-2) over Tulane (2-5), 20-10 20-13
  • Western Kentucky (2-4) over Florida Atlantic (3-4), 41-38 45-38
  • #25 Marshall (7-0) over FIU (3-5), 45-24 45-13
  • Florida (3-3) over Missouri (5-2), 23-13 42-13
  • #2 Florida State (7-0) over #5 Notre Dame (6-1), 38-35 31-27
  • Miami (4-3), BYE
Southeastern Conference:
  • South Carolina (4-3) over Furman (2-5), 49-7 41-10
  • #7 Alabama (6-1) over #21 Texas A&M (5-3), 24-17 59-0
  • #10 Georgia (6-1) over Arkansas (3-4), 24-21 45-32
  • #3 Mississippi (7-0) over Tennessee (3-4), 35-10 34-3
  • LSU (6-2) over Kentucky (5-2), 38-28 41-3
  • #6 Auburn (5-1), BYE
  • #1 Mississippi State (6-0), BYE
  • Vanderbilt (2-5), BYE
Top 25:
  • #4 Baylor (6-1) over West Virginia (5-2), 49-41 41-27
  • #8 Michigan State (6-1) over Indiana (3-4), 45-28 56-17
  • #9 Oregon (6-1) over Washington (5-2), 45-31 45-20
  • #11 Oklahoma (5-2) over #14 Kansas State (5-1), 31-28 31-30
  • #12 TCU (5-1) over #15 Oklahoma State (5-2), 44-31 42-9
  • #13 Ohio State (5-1) over Rutgers (5-2), 45-24 56-17
  • #23 Stanford (4-3) over #17 Arizona State (5-1), 24-17 26-10
  • #19 Nebraska (6-1) over Northwestern (3-4), 31-20 38-17
  • #20 Utah (5-1) over Oregon State (4-2), 31-24 29-23 (OT)
  • #22 USC (5-2) over Colorado (2-5), 38-24 56-28
  • #24 Clemson (5-2) over Boston College (4-3), 27-23 17-13
  • #16 Arizona (5-1), BYE
  • #18 East Carolina (5-1), BYE
Week 8 Record: 17-5 (77%)
Season Record: 98-36 (73%)

Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Know Your Opponent: Missouri

With the Gators moving on after a heartbreaking loss, their challenge yet again is to defeat the Tigers. These Tigers, however, come from the University of Missouri in Columbia. The University of Missouri was established in 1839 and is the oldest public university west of the Mississippi. Today, the school enrolls almost 35,000 students (including about 27,000 undergrads). School colors are black and gold (yellow, in appearance).

Mizzou is the one SEC member Florida has defeated less than
twice. Florida's only win came in 2012 in the Swamp, when
the Gators took advantage of four James Franklin
interceptions and came back from a halftime deficit to
survive 14-7
Sam Greenwood
Football was first played at the University of Missouri in 1890. In 1907, Missouri became a charter member of the Big Eight Conference. They remained in the Big Eight until 1996, when that conference expanded and became the Big 12 Conference. In 2012, Missouri, along with Texas A&M, left the Big 12 to join the Southeastern Conference. During their membership in the Big Eight, Missouri won 12 conference championships (including one retroactively). Missouri’s first Big Eight title was in 1909; their last was in 1969. Missouri did not win a Big 12 title, nor have they won an SEC title. The Tigers play their home games at Faurot Field (pronounced “fah-roe”) at Memorial Stadium. Faurot Field officially seats over 67,000 fans, with the record attendance in excess of 75,000.

Missouri’s successes are fairly modest in comparison with most other SEC schools. Only five teams in Missouri history have won ten or more games in one season. In the polls, the 1960, 2007, and 2013 Missouri squads rank as their most successful. The 1960 squad completed their season 10-1, but were retroactively rewarded an 11-0 record and Big Eight title after it was discovered Kansas had committed violations; they finished #5 in the AP poll. The 2007 team finished as AP #4 and defeated Arkansas in the Cotton Bowl. Their 12-2 record was marred only by their two losses to Oklahoma. The 2013 edition of the Missouri Tigers surpassed expectations by winning the SEC East and finishing 12-2. The 2013 Tigers finished #5 in the AP poll after besting Oklahoma State in the Cotton Bowl.

The Florida Gators and Missouri Tigers have only played three times in their history. Thus, Florida has played Missouri less frequently than any other conference opponent other than Texas A&M (who have also face the Gators thrice). Their first meeting was in the 1966 Sugar Bowl, which was won by Missouri 20-18 despite a furious fourth quarter comeback attempt by the Steve Spurrier-led Gators. Their second meeting, and the Gators' only win to date, was a defensive struggle won by Florida, 14-7. The first game in Columbia, won by Missouri 36-17, was also the only lopsided game between the two teams.

Missouri's fight song is based off the British naval tune "It's a Long Way to Tipperary", popularized by the German war epic Das Boot.

Monday, October 13, 2014

Saturday Predictions: Week 8

Another week, another exciting slate of college football games ahead of us. Just about every game featuring teams from the state of Florida could go either way with their winner. There won't be as many big match-ups in the SEC as there were last week, but some action out west should compensate.

After dropping a heartbreaker to the Tigers of LSU, the
Gators look for their fourth win of the season against the
Tigers of Missouri. Meanwhile, LSU looks to avoid the
upset against an upstart Kentucky team in Baton Rouge.
Rob Foldy
First, let's take a tour through Florida. USF is heading to Tulsa to take on the Golden Hurricane at noon. Both teams are equally flawed, though Tulsa will have the home-field advantage. The question is whether Tulsa's offense will have enough to get past the South Florida defense and if the Bulls can create the big plays that get them their occasional wins. UCF has had trouble this year getting past anybody, but should have a great opportunity to win in Orlando against Tulane in their first Saturday game since mid-September. Florida Atlantic gets Western Kentucky at home, but still need to play well to beat the Hilltoppers. Undefeated Marshall travels to play a seemingly overmatched FIU team.

The Florida Gators will again play host to the Missouri Tigers in Gainesville. Both teams are coming off crushing home defeats. While Florida's loss to LSU came in a most heartbreaking fashion, Missouri was completely dominated by a Georgia team with whom they expected to compete. Though Jeff Driskel showed spark by making terrific plays against LSU last week, he was also responsible for some terrible errors and erratic play on third downs. Expect the Gators to employ a dual-quarterback system with Treon Harris if Driskel does not miraculously improve. Starters Matt Jones (HB) and Vernon Hargreaves (CB), who both missed the second half of the LSU game due to injury, would make an impact on the field if they are to return. Missouri's Maty Mauk is coming off the worst performance of his career. In fact, the Missouri passing game has come nowhere near the standard of last year's team. Mizzou's rushing game has been more consistent, though they did next to nothing last week against the Dawgs. Surely, this Tiger offense must be eager to prove themselves as better than last week's showing.

The Seminoles downed the Orange with relative ease last
Saturday, but face a far greater challenge when the Irish visit
Tallahassee this week. Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports
Sixty minutes after the Florida-Missouri game kicks off, the national game-of-the-week will be underway just a couple hours northwest in Tallahassee. There, the Seminoles face the Fighting Irish of Notre Dame. This appears to be Florida State's greatest challenge thus far in the season. The Seminoles have looked surprisingly vulnerable so far, though they cruised to a victory last week in Syracuse. North Carolina nearly defeated the Irish last week in South Bend, though they have generally looked impressive this fall. Both teams have quarterbacks that have played for a BCS championship. Both have respectable defenses and talented offenses. What may decide the game is its location (an FSU advantage) and whether Notre Dame can stop Jameis Winston's passing attack. In every close game in which Winston has played quarterback for FSU, the gunslinger has been clutch in the fourth. But Notre Dame itself is no stranger to winning games in the final minutes. The winner will emerge as one of the few unbeaten teams left in college football.

In SEC country, Texas A&M will come back to Tuscaloosa after defeating the Tide there in 2012's classic game. This time, of course, there will be no AJ McCarron or Johnny Manziel. These teams appear evenly matched, though the home team may have the edge. Top 10-ranked Georgia travels to Fayetteville for their game against the Razorbacks. The Hogs may not be ranked, but do not expect them to fold against the highly-touted Bulldogs. Both teams prefer to run the ball. One team may have to score in the fourth to win it. Two five-win teams meet in Baton Rouge, though neither is ranked. Kentucky has risen to 5-1, but should face their toughest test of the year with the Tigers in Death Valley. Kentucky cannot win if they do not find a way to limit the effectiveness of LSU's running game. LSU must avoid errors, like they did last week against Florida, to keep the game out of the Wildcats' reach.

Out west, Oklahoma faces Kansas State in Norman. Though the Sooners are playing at home, the Wildcats come an extra week rested. Both teams have impressed at times and looked vulnerable at others. This game should be close in the end. Stanford should be challenged by Arizona State as they play in Tempe. The Sun Devils have had six more days of preparation and are playing at home. Still, Stanford's defense should keep this game competitive and could win it for the Cardinal.

State of Florida:
  • South Florida (2-4) over Tulsa (1-5), 20-17
  • UCF (3-2) over Tulane (2-4), 20-10
  • Western Kentucky (2-3) over Florida Atlantic (2-4), 41-38
  • #25 Marshall (6-0) over FIU (3-4), 45-24
  • Florida (3-2) over Missouri (4-2), 23-13
  • #2 Florida State (6-0) over #5 Notre Dame (6-0), 38-35
  • Miami (4-3), BYE
Southeastern Conference:
  • South Carolina (3-3) over Furman (2-4), 49-7
  • #7 Alabama (5-1) over #21 Texas A&M (5-2), 24-17
  • #10 Georgia (5-1) over Arkansas (3-3), 24-21
  • #3 Mississippi (6-0) over Tennessee (3-3), 35-10
  • LSU (5-2) over Kentucky (5-1), 38-28
  • #6 Auburn (5-1), BYE
  • #1 Mississippi State (6-0), BYE
  • Vanderbilt (2-5), BYE
Top 25:
  • #4 Baylor (6-0) over West Virginia (4-2), 49-41
  • #8 Michigan State (5-1) over Indiana (3-3), 45-28
  • #9 Oregon (5-1) over Washington (5-1), 45-31
  • #11 Oklahoma (5-1) over #14 Kansas State (4-1), 31-28
  • #12 TCU (4-1) over #15 Oklahoma State (5-1), 44-31
  • #13 Ohio State (4-1) over Rutgers (5-1), 45-24
  • #23 Stanford (4-2) over #17 Arizona State (4-1), 24-17
  • #19 Nebraska (5-1) over Northwestern (3-3), 31-20
  • #20 Utah (4-1) over Oregon State (4-1), 31-24
  • #22 USC (4-2) over Colorado (2-4), 38-24
  • #24 Clemson (4-2) over Boston College (4-2), 27-23
  • #16 Arizona (5-1), BYE
  • #18 East Carolina (5-1), BYE

Sunday, October 12, 2014

Saturday in Review: Week 7

First, Florida broke Kentucky's hearts. Then they broke Tennessee's hearts. Now, their own hearts are broken, after falling 30-27 to LSU in the Swamp. As the score suggests, it was a closely fought game throughout. The Florida offense made great plays and terrible errors. The Florida defense made great plays and terrible errors. But the LSU offense and defense made great plays when it mattered most.

LSU did a great job running the ball, particularly with Leonard Fournette, against the Gator defense. For most of the night, Florida's defense did a great job limiting the LSU passing game. The one terrible error was with LSU on third and 25, Florida's secondary blew a coverage, allowing the Tigers to complete a 41-yard pass that led to their final touchdown. It didn't help that the Gators' star corner, Vernon Hargreaves, missed the entire second half after a blow to the head. Florida's offense often stuttered, and could not consistently sustain drives, but did make the occasional big play. Hampering Florida's offense was the second-half absence of running back Matt Jones, who went out with a knee injury. Andre Debose made a spectacular effort returning punts (one was for a touchdown, the other set up a 12-yard touchdown pass). Debose also got one touch on offense, but it went for a huge gain.

Jeff Driskel was the Florida offense on Saturday, with his combined rushing and passing yards accounting for about 82% of Florida's offensive production. The quarterback made several key plays and costly errors. The first error was a fumble that set up LSU's first touchdown. The second was the inexplicably terrible slant to Latroy Pittman on Florida's final drive that was tipped, intercepted, and returned to set up LSU's game-winning field goal. However, Driskel did his best to win the game on the Gators' penultimate drive. First, the quarterback completed an amazing 72-yard pass to Demarcus Robinson, setting the Gators up with a first and goal from the two. With the Gators trailing by three (due to a missed PAT by LSU which may have ultimately played in the Tigers' favor), Driskel threw a perfect go-ahead-touchdown pass to Tevin Westbrook on third down, which was dropped by the young receiver. Florida settled for the game-tying field goal rather than go for it on fourth down (barely two minutes remained at that point). Florida stopped LSU with a three-and-out on their ensuing drive, but Florida could only make one play before the game-ending interception.

What else happened this week? Well, many of my predictions came to realization. One notable one that didn't was the Georgia-Missouri game. Even without halfback Todd Gurley, Georgia utterly dominated the Tigers, shutting them out while scoring 34. Mizzou was outplayed from start to finish. Kentucky and Georgia are now the two teams from the East that "control their destiny". The Oregon-UCLA was the only other game I missed widely, with Oregon coming out with a decisive win.

Mississippi State, Alabama, and Ole Miss all won. However, it was the Bulldogs and the Rebels that looked truly impressive with their wins. Mississippi State thoroughly defeated the Auburn Tigers while Ole Miss crushed the Aggies in a sold-out Kyle Field. Alabama's one-point victory was decided by a blocked PAT. The SEC championship now runs through the state of Mississippi. Vanderbilt barely got away from Charleston Southern.

Baylor won a shootout against TCU, while Oklahoma just escaped the Longhorns. Besides Auburn and TCU, undefeated Arizona and Georgia Tech also fell (the former in a most heartbreaking fashion). Marshall remains unbeaten. Oklahoma State needed a late punt return to put away Kansas while Notre Dame survived a scare against North Carolina.

State of Florida:
  • UCF (3-2) over BYU (4-2), 20-13 31-23 (OT)
  • Miami (4-3) over Cincinnati (2-3), 38-21 55-34
  • #1 Florida State (6-0) over Syracuse (2-4), 37-6 38-20
  • #19 East Carolina (5-1) over South Florida (2-4), 28-13 28-17
  • FIU (3-4) over UTSA (2-4), 31-27 16-13
  • Florida (3-2) over LSU (5-2), 13-6 30-27
  • Florida Atlantic (2-4), BYE
Southeastern Conference:
  • #23 Missouri (4-2) over #13 Georgia (5-1), 34-31 34-0
  • Kentucky (5-1) over Louisiana-Monroe (3-3), 31-14 48-14
  • #3 Mississippi State (6-0) over #2 Auburn (5-1), 38-31 38-23
  • Tennessee (3-3) over Chattanooga (3-3), 45-13 45-10
  • #7 Alabama (5-1) over Arkansas (3-3), 35-31 14-13
  • Vanderbilt (2-5) over Charleston Southern (5-1), 34-16 21-20
  • #3 Mississippi (6-0) over #14 Texas A&M (5-2), 27-24 35-20
  • South Carolina (3-3), BYE
Top 25:
  • #5 Baylor (6-0) over #9 TCU (4-1), 38-30 61-58
  • #6 Notre Dame (6-0) over North Carolina (2-4), 38-17 50-43
  • #8 Michigan State (5-1) over Purdue (3-4), 45-17 45-31
  • #10 Arizona (5-1) over USC (4-2), 38-31 28-26
  • #11 Oklahoma (5-1) over Texas (2-4), 34-17 31-26
  • #18 UCLA (4-2) over #12 Oregon (5-1), 28-27 42-30
  • #16 Oklahoma State (5-1) over Kansas (2-4), 37-10 27-20
  • #22 Georgia Tech (5-1) over Duke (5-1), 31-24 31-25
  • #25 Stanford (4-2) over Washington State (2-5), 20-17 34-17
  • #15 Ohio State (4-1), BYE
  • #17 Kansas State (4-1), BYE
  • #20 Arizona State (4-1), BYE
  • #21 Nebraska (5-1), BYE
  • #24 Utah (4-1), BYE
Week 7 Record: 16-6 (73%)
Season Record: 81-31 (72%)

Thursday, October 9, 2014

Saturday Predictions: Week 7

The California Golden Bears have played an exciting brand of
football this season. Against their four FBS opponents, they
won by seven against Northwestern, three in double overtime
against Colorado, and one against Washington State; they
lost to Arizona by four on a Hail Mary. They face
Washington in Berkeley this Saturday.
Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports
Chances are we won't be beating last week's slate of games... still, it is college football so expect the unexpected. There will be at least a few interesting matches in the SEC and Pac-12.

The first game of the week will be played tonight between UCF and BYU. The Knights seem to have dropped off a bit after losing quarterback Blake Bortles and other players from last year's team. However, the injury of BYU starting quarterback Taysom Hill was a catastrophic blow to the Cougars' seasonal prospects. UCF's defense should win the day against the Cougs in Orlando.

Florida State's offense may look less impressive than once expected against Syracuse this Saturday due to the loss of several key starters. FIU must continue to play impressive football against a desperate UTSA team to win in San Antonio.

After falling to 2-4 and 0-2 in the B1G Ten, the Michigan Wolverines and head coach Brady Hoke would be beyond salvation if they were playing in any other conference. Yet, Penn State may just have enough flaws for the Maize and Blue to pull out a win. However, a loss almost certainly dooms them to miss the postseason.

One of four match-ups between two Top 25 teams, Missouri and Georgia play at noon on CBS. Georgia may very well be the better team. But Missouri has two distinct advantage: they have had an extra week to prepare and they are playing at home. Still, Georgia could win depending on how well Todd Gurley runs and how many mistakes Hutson Mason avoids.

Of all the undefeated teams in the country, probably only
Marshall has been more ignored by the press than Georgia
Tech. The Ramblin' Wreck must get past Duke Saturday to
stay perfect. Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
Georgia Tech's undefeated record will be challenged again when they face Duke in Atlanta. Duke has had an extra week to prepare, although GT may prove too talented for the Blue Devils. Against Washington, Cal has a chance to prove it's one of the best unranked 4-1 teams in the country.

The big game of the weekend is between #2 Auburn and #3 Mississippi State. It's uncommon to see such a clash of titans be fought in Starkville, but don't be mistaken, we just may be seeing the two best teams (or best offenses, at least) in the SEC. Both teams are among the three remaining unbeatens in the SEC. Although Auburn did narrowly defeat an excellent Kansas State team earlier this year on the road, the Bulldogs pose an apparently greater challenge. Both teams are coming directly off impressive wins, but only one can survive Saturday with an unscathed record.

The other #3 from Mississippi, that is, Ole Miss, is facing a similarly difficult challenge. The Rebels need a win over an angry Texas A&M squad on the road. Their performance against Mississippi State last week suggests the Aggies are not again the greatest offensive team in the SEC West. Yet I imagine they're still a threat to any defense. Ole Miss, however, may have the best defense in the country. The strength of Ole Miss's defense and A&M's offense should keep this a close game.

Meanwhile, on the West coast, Oregon meets UCLA in Pasadena. Both teams are coming off surprising losses to Pac-12 South opponents. Both could use this win to relaunch themselves into the playoff conversation. Both teams have struggled more than expected this year, particularly on the offensive line (injuries have done neither team much favors). This game should probably be close.

Arizona, the Pac-12's only remaining unbeaten team, will play USC in Tucson. Surprisingly, the Wildcats are underdogs to the twice-beaten Trojans, evidence that they still have skeptics to win over. USC must show impressive resolve after falling last week to Arizona State's Hail Mary touchdown. Arizona should win at home if they play to their ability.

Finally, the LSU Tigers go up against the Florida Gators again in the Swamp. This is the first game since 1989 that both teams enter unranked. Both fanbases may commiserate with another's quarterback problems. Florida's formerly-apparent starter for this game was suspended earlier this week on criminal accusations. Now, the Gators will play the embattled Jeff Driskel, a quarterback who has defeated LSU once before (in 2012), although he himself did not play an impressive game. Florida's receivers have also played poorly over the last several weeks. LSU may be in an even greater quandary. Neither quarterback Anthony Jennings nor Brandon Harris has shown the competence to play against elite SEC defenses. This year's offensive line has also been a disappointment for LSU, who have had an unusually difficult time running the ball. In recent years, the Florida-LSU game has often been a low-scoring affair. Do not anticipate this year's bout to be much different.

State of Florida:
  • UCF (2-2) over BYU (4-1), 20-13
  • Miami (3-3) over Cincinnati (2-2), 38-21
  • #1 Florida State (5-0) over Syracuse (2-3), 37-6
  • #19 East Carolina (4-1) over South Florida (2-3), 28-13
  • FIU (3-3) over UTSA (1-4), 31-27 (UPSET)
  • Florida (3-1) over LSU (4-2), 13-6 (UPSET)
  • Florida Atlantic (2-4), BYE
Southeastern Conference:
  • #23 Missouri (4-1) over #13 Georgia (4-1), 34-31 (UPSET)
  • Kentucky (4-1) over Louisiana-Monroe (3-2), 31-14
  • #3 Mississippi State (5-0) over #2 Auburn (5-0), 38-31 (UPSET)
  • Tennessee (2-3) over Chattanooga (3-2), 45-13
  • #7 Alabama (4-1) over Arkansas (3-2), 35-31
  • Vanderbilt (1-5) over Charleston Southern (5-0), 34-16
  • #3 Mississippi (5-0) over #14 Texas A&M (5-1), 27-24 (UPSET)
  • South Carolina (3-3), BYE
Top 25:
  • #5 Baylor (5-0) over #9 TCU (4-0), 38-30
  • #6 Notre Dame (5-0) over North Carolina (2-3), 38-17
  • #8 Michigan State (4-1) over Purdue (3-3), 45-17
  • #10 Arizona (5-0) over USC (3-2), 38-31 (UPSET)
  • #11 Oklahoma (4-1) over Texas (2-3), 34-17
  • #18 UCLA (4-1) over #12 Oregon (4-1), 28-27 (UPSET)
  • #16 Oklahoma State (4-1) over Kansas (2-3), 37-10
  • #22 Georgia Tech (5-0) over Duke (4-1), 31-24
  • #25 Stanford (3-2) over Washington State (2-4), 20-17
  • #15 Ohio State (4-1), BYE
  • #17 Kansas State (4-1), BYE
  • #20 Arizona State (4-1), BYE
  • #21 Nebraska (5-1), BYE
  • #24 Utah (4-1), BYE

Wednesday, October 8, 2014

Know Your Opponent: LSU

Returning to play at home for the first time since mid-September, the Gators now face the Tigers of Louisiana State University. LSU traces its establishment back to 1860, when the Louisiana State Seminary of Learning & Military Academy was opened in Pineville. After the college was burned down in 1869, it moved to Baton Rouge and changed its name to The Louisiana State University. The school’s campus was established at its current location in 1926. Currently, the university enrolls around 30,000 students (almost 25,000 are undergrads). School colors are royal purple and old gold (often just purple and yellow in appearance).

The last time the Tigers met the Gators in the Swamp, the
game turned out to be a memorable classic. The 2012 Gators
overcame a 6-0 halftime deficit to win 14-6, mostly through
dominating defensive play and an outstanding rushing attack.
Perhaps the finest hour for Mike Gillislee, the halfback
scored both Florida touchdowns and rushed for 146 yards
against a vaunted LSU defense. Likewise, Matt Elam had
possibly the greatest performance of his spectacular career as
a Gator safety, recording seven tackles and forcing the
game-changing fumble in the third quarter.
Sam Greenwood - Getty Images
The LSU Tigers are among the oldest and most successful programs in the history of college football. The school began playing football in 1893. Louisiana State became a charter member of the Southeastern Conference when the conference was formed in 1933. LSU has won 11 SEC titles; the first was won in 1935 and the most recent was in 2011. The Tigers play home football games in Tiger Stadium, nicknamed “Death Valley.” One of the largest (and loudest, at times) stadiums in the country, Tiger Stadium can seat in excess of 102,000 fans.

Louisiana State has won three national titles in its history (1958, 2003, and 2007). Only two of these titles (1958 and 2007) are recognized by the AP, as the 2003 AP national title was awarded to the USC Trojans. LSU’s Billy Cannon won the Heisman Trophy in 1959 (to date, the school’s only winner). Of LSU’s national championship teams, only the 1958 squad finished with a perfect (11-0) record, winning by at least seven points against every opponent other than Florida and Mississippi State. The 2003 team lost 19-7 to Florida in Tiger Stadium, while the 2007 squad actually lost twice (to Kentucky and Arkansas, both in triple overtime). Coincidentally, each LSU national championship team played their post-season bowl game in nearby New Orleans.

The Gators and Tigers have a long history of playing another that goes back to their first meeting in 1937. The Florida-LSU game has occurred on an annual basis every year since 1971. In total, Florida and LSU have played 60 times; Florida has won 31 of these games, while LSU has won 26 (three games have ended in ties). Recently, the rivalry has become extremely competitive, with the last eight games being won four times by each school and at no time being won more than two years consecutively.

Monday, October 6, 2014

Saturday in Review: Week 6

What a week of college football, huh? We expected it to be the greatest so far this season and it sure did not disappoint. It seems like there were dozens of close games and upsets. In fact, 11 Top 25 teams went down this past week (eight of those were to lower-ranked or unranked opponents). The only thing missing was overtime games, but hey, that's a petty reason to complain. And I couldn't care less that my predictions were pretty lousy for the most part. There's a lot to cover here so let's get to it.

The insanity began on Thursday night, when UCF upset Houston on the road. Down five points with 34 seconds left and 20 yards away from the endzone, Cougar QB Greg Ward Jr. took off, sprinted past the Knights defense, and dove towards the pylon... only to lose his grip of the ball two feet short of the goal-line as he was hit by a UCF player. The ball fumbled out of the endzone for a touchback and the Knights held on the win.

Once-maligned head coach Rich Rodriquez has lead his
Arizona Wildcats to a surprising 5-0 start. The Wildcats are
the only Pac-12 team left undefeated. Jonathan Ferrey
But the real shocker was yet to come. The Arizona Wildcats came into Eugene as 24-point underdogs to the pretty-in-pink Ducks of Oregon. But the Cats were undeterred and confident, having crushed the Mighty Ducks last year in Tucson. Those who have watched the Ducks this season would qualify them as a good team but with one fatal flaw: their offensive line. The Wildcats were ready to exploit this weakness, pressuring UO seemingly on every down. Oregon successfully converted only four of their 14 attempts on third down. Going into halftime, the game was led by Oregon 7-3 in a defensive battle. However, the balanced Arizona attack started to wear down the Oregon defense in the third, as the Wildcats scored 21 points in the 15 minutes after halftime. Starting the final quarter of play, the Cats held a 24-14 advantage, but the Ducks weren't allowing this game to slip away. Marcus Mariota lead the Ducks down the field to bring it to 24-17 and, soon afterwards, threw for another touchdown and a tie game. The Cats got the ball back and used the running game of Jones-Grigsby and Wilson to melt the clock and march down the field. With the aid of a questionable unsportsmanlike conduct penalty on Tony Washington, Arizona was eventually able to punch it in the endzone and take the 31-24 lead. Oregon got the ball back once more with 2:54 left and a chance to tie, but the ball was ripped out of Mariota's hands by Arizona defender Scooby Wright, who recovered the fumble. Arizona bled out the clock and held on for the stunning win. What wasn't known then was that Oregon would be the first of five Top 10 teams to fall that week.

We wouldn't have to wait until Saturday for another Top 25 upset. The next shocking result came in Provo, Utah, where the #18 BYU Cougars faced their in-state rivals, the Utah State Aggies, last Friday. With 2:38 left in the second quarter, BYU was down by a touchdown to the inspired Aggies. Then, Cougar QB Taysom Hill fractured his leg being tackled. After that unfortunate turn of events, the game turned into a rout and Utah State ran away with the victory.

The Gators attempted to earn their first road win of the
season in the hostile arena of Neyland Stadium.
Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports
Saturday began with the Gators playing the Volunteers in a checkerboarded Neyland Stadium. Tennessee fans were hungry to break their nine-game losing streak to Florida, packing the house with over 100,000 desperate fans. For three quarters, it looked like Vol fans would be granted their wish. The Gators had an extra week to prepare for Tennessee, but one couldn't tell that from the way the Gator offense performed. Quarterback Jeff Driskel's career hit a new low, attempting 23 passes for only 11 completions and 59 yards. Three of his passes went into the hands of the opposing team. However, to blame Florida's offensive woes solely on Driskel would be entirely unfair. His receivers dropped passes (in fact, two of his interceptions were primarily the fault of receivers) and ran busted routes. Even the Gators' best receiver, Demarcus Robinson, proved barely competent. Driskel and halfback Matt Jones had occasional success running the ball, but that wasn't enough.

However, Florida's defense, Kyle Christy's punting, and Tennessee's own offensive ineptitude kept the Volunteers from getting away with a big lead. The Gator front-seven kept the pressure against gunslinger Justin Worley, giving him little time to find the open man (if there was one at all). They also prevented the Volunteers from developing any type of a run game. Corner Vernon Hargreaves III effectively shut down his side of the field while Jalen Tabor and Keanu Neal also made a tremendous impact in the secondary.

Bryan Cox, Jr. (3 sacks) and the Florida defense kept the
Gators in the game when their offense struggled. Joe Robbins
Driskel threw his first pick late in the first quarter, bouncing the ball off an oblivious Demarcus Robinson and into the hands of a Tennessee defender Cameron Sutton on their 47-yard-line. The Gator defense bent but didn't break, and only allowed a field goal. The Gators went into halftime scoreless for the first time since 1955. Starting out the second half, Driskel threw another pick, this time a terrible pass into the hands of Jalen Reeves-Maybin. Starting on Florida's 13, Worley decided to throw his first (and only) pass in the direction of Vernon Hargreaves. This error would not go unpunished, as Hargreaves snatched the ball away in the endzone. Driskel was bailed out by his defense, but still couldn't get much going. Two drives later he threw his third interception; this time Tevin Westbrook was at fault. Tennessee then got the ball on Florida's 17, but again, the Gator defense held. The Vols only got a field goal and went up 6-0. The Gators got the ball back but were forced to punt.

Next proceeded Tennessee's only long scoring drive of the day. Getting the ball on their own 32, the Volunteers drove 47 yards before being forced to attempt yet another field goal. This pushed their lead to two scores, 9-0. Still, the Gator offense proved wholly incompetent and were forced to punt again after a sack. Tennessee had their chance to put away the game. On their own 43, second down and five-to-go, with 19 seconds left in the third, Worley stepped back to pass. However, the Gator defense called a corner blitz, and Jalen Tabor came in on the right side totally unblocked (Worley was staring off to the left, totally blind to the blitz). Tabor slammed Worley on his back, knocking the ball to the ground and immediately pouncing on the live ball. Now, with the ball on Tennessee's 30, the Gators had their own chance to get back on the game. But Driskel wasn't coming back in...

Instead, the freshman backup Treon Harris came in to lead the Gators. First play, Harris hand the ball off the Matt Jones for a gain. Then, a swing route from Harris to Jones got the first down. Next, Harris called his own number for another first. The Volunteers couldn't stop Matt Jones, and two running plays latter he was in the endzone. With 13:40 left in the game, the score was 9-7 and, against the odds, the Gators were back in it. On the next drive, the Gator defense allowed one first down, but then forced a punt. Florida got the ball back, but beginning on their own 19 they had a long field ahead of them.

The entrance of quarterback Treon Harris provided the spark
that ignited Florida's fourth quarter comeback over the
Volunteers in Knoxville. Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports
After two plays it was third and five, with the Gators needing a conversion. Harris stepped back and tossed the ball to Westbrook by the sidelines, who just got past the sticks. The next play saw Matt Jones take the handoff, burst through an open seam on the left side, and break a tackle before finally going down after a 32-yard gain. However, the Volunteer defense keyed-in on the run, and three more plays only netted seven yards for the Gators. Fourth and three on the Volunteer 32, Gator kicker Austin Hardin lined up for a long field goal. Having a previous career-long of 33 yards, Hardin needed to make the kick of his life. The ball snapped just before the play-clock ran out, the hold was good, and Hardin nailed the 49-yarder right down the middle. Before a shocked crowd, Florida took the lead, 10-9, with 6:20 left in the game.

Almost immediately after Tennessee got the ball back, they were forced to punt. The ball returned to Florida, but they too were forced to punt. However, the Gators succeeded in running 2:40 off the clock, leaving only 2:39 for Tennessee's final drive. Worley converted a clutch third and 10, passing it 15 yards to Pig Howard. Three unsuccessful plays later, it was fourth and 10, with Tennessee on their own 37 and only 1:04 to go. But again, Worley evaded the sack and found Howard for another 15 yards and a first down. Time was running out for Tennessee. First down and 10, with only 51 seconds on the clock, Worley took a shot downfield. The ball flew over Worley's receiver and into the fingertips of Keanu Neal, who made the spectacular interception. The Gators escaped with their closest victory over the Volunteers since 2006, extending the streak to 10 games.

While Florida and Tennessee were battling in Knoxville, Mississippi State was taking Texas A&M to the woodshed in Starkville. The Bulldogs piled up 48 points on the Aggies, who could not match MSU offensively or defensively. Dak Prescott proved more effective and more efficient than his counterpart, Kenny Hill. Nine drops by A&M's receivers did nothing to assist Hill (who still managed 365 passing yards). Most impressive was the balanced offensive attack of Mississippi State, who compiled 279 yards passing and 280 yards rushing. Although the Aggies may not have the best defense in the conference, if the SEC has anything comparable to an unstoppable force, it may be this Bulldog offense. With the Ole Miss defense looking something like an immovable object, we may be set for an Egg Bowl of epic proportions late this November.

Ben Koyack's Stanford-beating catch sealed the victory for
the Irish in one of the season's most exciting games.
Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports
Notre Dame survived the efforts of Stanford, winning by the exact score I predicted (17-14). The game came down to the Irish's final drive. It was fourth and 11 for the Irish on Stanford's 23-yard-line, trailing 14-10 with only 69 seconds left. Everett Golson took the snap from shotgun, scrambled left, and found a wide-open Ben Koyack in the corner of the endzone. Another classic in Notre Dame Stadium ended with a victory for the home team.

The next of the Top 10 teams to lose was Oklahoma in Fort Worth. TCU just managed to overcome the Sooners in this pass-heavy duel. OU had no answer for the Horned Frogs' Trevone Boykin, who racked up 318 passing yards and 77 rushing yards. A peculiar note for this game was Oklahoma's final score: a two-point conversion made by the Sooner defense after a blocked PAT.

By defeating Old Dominion, Marshall remained one of the nation's exceedingly few undefeated teams. Meanwhile, Ohio State crushed an overwhelmed Maryland squad, improving to 4-1. Miami of Ohio ended the nation's longest losing streak (21 games), beating a similarly hapless Massachusetts team 42-41 at home. Catastrophic mismanagement of the clock in the game's final seconds doomed the Minutemen to their sixth loss of the season. Baylor and Florida State started slow but defeated their overmatched opponents to stay unbeaten.

The Ole Miss Rebels ended a 10-game losing streak to the
Tide with their historic victory in Oxford.
Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports
In a day filled to the brim with upsets, the 23-17 victory of Ole Miss over Alabama may be one of the more shocking. Even with an extra week of preparation, the Crimson Tide could not find a consistent way to move the ball against this Rebel defense. Both offenses were plagued by missed opportunities and occasional clumsiness. Although Mississippi struggled to run the ball, their defense played spectacularly and quarterback Bo Wallace managed to avoid costly mistakes. This allowed the Rebels to stay in the game until their offense finally broke through in the fourth quarter. Ole Miss may ride their tremendous defense all the way to Atlanta.

The Tiger Bowl was one game that did not (or could not) live up to it's expectations. Nick Marshall and Auburn proved leagues above LSU and their struggling quarterbacks. LSU's 34-point defeat was their most lopsided since Les Miles began coaching the Tigers in 2005. At this point, LSU appears to be the weakest team in the SEC West (which is not to say they are a bad team).

Rutgers picked up their first-ever B1G Ten victory by defeating Michigan 26-24 in Piscataway. With their win over Miami in Atlanta, Georgia Tech remained among the undefeated. Topping an exhilarating comeback, Arizona State downed USC with a 46-yard Hail Mary in Los Angeles. Simultaneously, Kentucky was pulling off their own incredible comeback against South Carolina, scoring the final 21 points of the game to beat the Gamecocks 45-38 in Lexington. Alvin Dupree's improbable interception return put the Wildcats on top for good.

The Huskers were flat through the first three quarters, but
came back to give Sparty a scare. SB Nation via ABC
For the first three quarters, Michigan State utterly dominated Nebraska. On a cold and rainy night, the Spartans thoroughly outplayed the Cornhuskers, outscoring them 27-3 by the start of the fourth quarter. The Green team had totally shut-down Nebraska's star running back. Many (though not most) fans left the stadium for the warm indoors, confident in their team's victory. Kirk Herbstreit and Chris Fowler had long given up on their commentary of the game, choosing instead to discuss the day's events. Then, chaos broke loose in East Lansing. First Nebraska scored a touchdown with 12:49 left, bringing the deficit to 27-9. MSU melted the clock significantly on their next two drives, but were eventually forced to punt. The Huskers proceeded to march down the field, score, and cut the Spartan lead to 27-16. Nebraska forced a quick three-and-out, and, on the ensuing punt, De'Mornay Pierson-El returned it all 62 yards for a touchdown. Now, the Spartan lead was only 27-22 and Nebraska still had 3:22 left to get the final five. But the Cornhusker's failed to recover their own onside kick; MSU had the ball back with a short field. After burning away 2:15 and gaining 24 yards, the Spartans lined up for a field goal that would extend the lead to eight. The 37-yarder curved in a bonked off the left upright. Nebraska inherited the ball with 67 seconds and a chance to win. With no timeouts left, the Huskers were desperate but dauntless. A 43-yard pass from Tommy Armstrong Jr. to Alonzo Moore got Nebraska to the Spartans' own 37. The subsequent pass fell incomplete. With only 30 seconds left, Armstrong took the next snap, but threw it over the head of his own man and into the arms of Trae Waynes, cementing the Spartan win.

The final, and one of the most shocking, upsets of the week was Utah's 30-28 win over UCLA. Despite being totally shut down in the passing game, Utah was able to run the ball effectively and stop UCLA's offense on third downs. In the end, UCLA had a chance to win the game on a long field goal. Ka'imi Fairbairn didn't have the accuracy, missing it hard to the right. However, a running-into-the-kicker penalty gave the man another chance. On the second try, Fairbairn missed it by inches and Utah hung on to win a well-earned victory.

As a final note, I'd like to draw attention to Connor Halliday of Washington State. Halliday completed 49 passes of his 70 attempts, with six of those completions going for touchdowns. Most impressively, Halliday set a new FBS record for passing yards in a game, with 734. Yet, such a commendable performance could not lift his Cougars past the California Golden Bears. On his final drive, Halliday led the Cougars 68 yards down the field, all the way down to Cal's 2-yard-line, leaving only 15 seconds on the clock. However, WSU's kicker somehow missed the go-ahead 19-yarder and WSU fell, 60-59.

State of Florida:
  • UCF (2-2) over Houston (2-3), 27-20 17-12
  • Florida Atlantic (2-4) over FIU (3-3), 38-34 38-10
  • Florida (3-1) over Tennessee (2-3), 24-20 10-9
  • #1 Florida State (5-0) over Wake Forrest (2-4), 63-17 43-3
  • Georgia Tech (5-0) over Miami (3-3), 34-24 28-17
  • South Florida (2-3), BYE
Southeastern Conference:
  • #12 Mississippi State (5-0) over #6 Texas A&M (5-1), 31-28 48-31
  • #3 Alabama (4-1) over #11 Mississippi (5-0), 34-21 23-17
  • #13 Georgia (4-1) over Vanderbilt (1-5), 45-7 44-17
  • #5 Auburn (5-0) over #15 LSU (4-2), 23-17 41-7
  • Kentucky (4-1) over South Carolina (3-3), 24-17 45-38
  • Arkansas (3-2), BYE
  • #24 Missouri (4-1), BYE
Top 25:
  • #2 Oregon (4-1) over Arizona (5-0), 45-28 31-24
  • #4 Oklahoma (4-1) over #25 TCU (4-0), 31-24 37-33
  • #7 Baylor (5-0) over Texas (2-3), 42-27 28-7
  • #8 UCLA (4-1) over Utah (4-1), 38-24 30-28
  • #9 Notre Dame (5-0) over #14 Stanford (3-2), 17-14 ✓
  • #10 Michigan State (4-1) over #19 Nebraska (5-1), 38-28 27-22
  • #16 USC (3-2) over Arizona State (4-1), 31-21 38-34
  • #17 Wisconsin (3-2) over Northwestern (3-2), 30-21 20-14
  • #18 BYU (4-1) over Utah State (3-2), 34-17 35-20
  • Maryland (4-2) over #20 Ohio State (4-1), 31-28 52-24
  • #21 Oklahoma State (4-1) over Iowa State (1-4), 45-31 37-20
  • #22 East Carolina (4-1) over SMU (0-5), 52-3 45-24
  • #23 Kansas State (4-1) over Texas Tech (2-3), 38-28 45-13
Week 6 Record: 14-9 (61%)
Season Record: 65-25 (72%)