Thursday, December 31, 2015

Know Your Opponent: Michigan

The crater-like Michigan Stadium is the second largest
stadium in the world. Only May Day Stadium in Pyongyang
surpasses the massive structure in capacity. Wikimedia Commons
The Gators take on the winningest program of all-time when they face the Wolverines from the University of Michigan on New Year's Day. In 1817, two decades before the Territory of Michigan became a state, Judge Augustus Woodward established what he called the "Catholepistemiad, or University, of Michigania" in the fledgling frontier capital of Detroit. The territorial government reduced the cumbersome, latinesque name to the "University of Michigan" in 1821. Although called a university in name, in its earliest decade, the University of Michigan only existed as a primary school and a classical academy. By 1827, both schools had ceased operation, and the "university" became nothing more than a legal entity. As Michigan prepared for statehood in 1835, a constitutional convention embraced the Prussian model of education, in which the state assumed administrative responsibilities over all levels of schooling. In 1837, a new University of Michigan was created in Ann Arbor, a small village that had recently lost the bid to Lansing to become the new state capital. Seven men attended the first classes in 1841, and eleven participated in the first graduation of 1845. The medical school admitted the university's first black student in 1853, while the first woman was enrolled in 1870. Nearly 44,000 students are part of today's student body, including over 28,000 undergraduates. Academically, the University of Michigan is considered to be in the highest tier of public universities. Maize (a shade of yellow) and blue were adopted as the school's official colors in 1912, although they had been used by students since just after the Civil War.

The Michigan Wolverines are among the most successful programs in college football. The Wolverines played their first game in 1879 against Racine in Chicago; this happened to be the first American football game (although it more resembled rugby at that time) played west of the Appalachian Mountains. Michigan defeated Racine that day, the first of what now amounts to 924 victories in program history. No other school has more (Notre Dame ranks second, with 892 wins-to-date). The state of Michigan has long carried an association with the wolverine, so the nickname "Wolverines" for Michigan students and alumni long predates their first football game. In 1896, Michigan became one of seven schools to charter the Western Conference, which would later become known as the Big Ten Conference. The Wolverines left the conference after the 1906 season, but rejoined it in 1917 and haven't left again since. Michigan leads all Big Ten schools with 42 conference titles (Ohio State is second with 35 while Minnesota is third with 18). The Wolverines won their first conference title in 1898 and their most recent in 2004. Michigan holds a winning record head-to-head against all other Big Ten members, past and present, other than recent expansion teams Rutgers and Nebraska. In fact, except for Cornell, Michigan holds a winning record against every team they've played more than 10 games against. Michigan claims to have captured 11 national championships, although just three are recognized by modern consensus sources and two by the AP. The Wolverines play their home games at the largest stadium in the United States and the second largest on Earth, Michigan Stadium. Affectionately nicknamed "The Big House", Michigan Stadium can seat in excess of 109,000 spectators at one event. Before it's capacity was reduced in 2015, the largest crowd to attend a game numbered 115,109; they witnessed the Wolverines defeat Notre Dame 41-30 on September 7, 2013.

Hired in 1901, Fielding Yost established Michigan's permanent tradition of excellence. Between 1901 and 1905, Yost's Wolverines would go 55-1-1 against all opponents, outscoring them by a total of 2,821 points to 42 (or by an average score of 49-1). On New Year's Day, 1902, Yost led his Wolverines to a victory over Stanford in the first-ever bowl game, the 1902 Rose Bowl in Pasadena. Yost coached the Wolverines until 1923, before taking a one-year hiatus and returning for a final two seasons. During his tenure, the Wolverines compiled a 165-29-10 record, won ten Big Ten titles, and laid claim to six national titles. Eight of Yost's squads completed their seasons undefeated (five were also untied). Had Michigan not left the Big Ten for a span of a decade, Yost certainly would have led them to more conference titles. Yost played center Germany Schultz behind the line, and is thus credited with inventing the linebacker position. Yost stepped down from head coaching to become Michigan's full-time athletic director after 1926. He would remain AD until 1940.

Under Yost, the Wolverines were credited with earning the 1901, 1902, 1903, 1904, 1918, and 1923 national championships. Coach Harry Kipke led the Wolverines the national titles in 1932 and 1933. The Wolverines won title a title in 1947 under Fritz Crisler and another in 1948 with coach Bennie Oosterbaan. Their last national title came in 1997 with Lloyd Carr. Only the 1948 and 1997 titles are recognized by the AP. Among all these tremendous teams, the 1947 squad may have been the finest. The '47 Wolverines went unchallenged throughout much of the year, obliterating their competition by a combined score of 345-53. The Wolverines shut out five opponents – Michigan State (55-0), Pitt (69-0), Indiana (35-0), Ohio State (21-0), and Southern Cal in the Rose Bowl (49-0). The demolition of USC remains tied with the 1902 game (also won by Michigan) as the most lopsided Rose Bowl in history.

Charles Woodson had a remarkable knack for interceptions.
The shut-down corner, who also played offense and special
teams, was key to the 1997 Wolverines' undefeated season.
Damian Strohmeyer/SI
Three Michigan Wolverines have been awarded the Heisman Trophy. In 1940, halfback Tom Harmon rushed for 844 yards (106 per game) and led the nation in points scored before winning the statue. The electric returner and wide receiver Desmond Howard remains one of the trophy's most iconic winners. Howard won the Heisman in 1991 and to-date is the last receiver to have won the award. Charles Woodson, who played both returner and cornerback, stands today as one of the sport's greatest athletes. Woodson, who picked up the Heisman in 1997, is the only primarily defensive player to have won the award since 1950. Woodson is also the last player not a halfback or quarterback to have won the Heisman.

Michigan and Ohio State share one of the greatest and most famous rivalries in athletics. Since they first met in 1897, the Wolverines and the Buckeyes have contested their border war on 112 occasions and every year since 1918. Much of a coach's legacy at either school is determined by their record against the hated school from across the state line. It's common practice for fans of both schools to vandalize the others' campus during football season and throughout the year. Both schools have horded much of the football success and glory produced in the Midwest. Combined, the two programs account for 77 Big Ten titles in a conference that has existed for 120 years. Michigan leads the series with 58 victories to Ohio State's 47 (six games have ended as draws). However, in recent times, the rivalry has leaned in the Buckeyes' favor, with Michigan winning just twice since 2001. For some Wolverine fans, the rivalry between Michigan and Michigan State is of equal (or even greater) importance. The in-state rivals first played in 1898 and have met annually since 1907 (barring a two-year hiatus during the Second World War). The Wolverines and the Spartans have played 109 games, with Michigan's 68 wins leading Michigan State's 35 (five games have tied). Michigan utterly dominated the rivalry until 1950, when the Spartans surpassed the Wolverines for a period of two decades.

The Gators and the Wolverines have a short history, having only played twice during the 2000s. Michigan, under coach Lloyd Carr, won on both occasions. Michigan outplayed Florida in the 2003 Outback Bowl, winning 38-30. The Wolverines outscored Tim Tebow's Gators 41-35 in the 2008 Citrus Bowl and Coach Carr's final game (this was also the only bowl game Urban Meyer lost as head coach of the Gators).

Supposedly, John Philip Sousa remarked that "The Victors" was the "greatest college fight song ever written". If it is not the greatest, it ranks among them, with its simple and memorable chorus. President Gerald Ford, who played center for the Wolverines in the early 1930s, often requested "The Victors" be played in lieu of "Hail to the Chief" at presidential appearances. The fight song was played at Ford's state funeral in 2007.


Wednesday, December 30, 2015

Bowl Predictions: Before New Year's

The end is nigh for 2015, but the college football season is just reaching its climax.

Memphis and Auburn met twice before during the mid-
Seventies. The Tigers from Tennessee won both games.
Joe Murphy/Getty Images
Birmingham Bowl: The Tigers will tussle when Auburn (2-6 SEC West) plays Memphis (5-3 American West) at Legion Field.

Auburn entered the season as one of the favorite teams to win the SEC and make the playoffs. They didn't end up anywhere near those expectations, barely managing to reach bowl eligibility. It became apparent that Auburn wasn't the juggernaut some expected after they needed overtime to defeat Jacksonville State on the second Saturday of the season. Auburn was competitive against many of their SEC opponents, but usually proved to be the lesser team by the time the clock expired. However, Auburn is better than the typical six-win team. Each of the Tigers' six losses came to a team that became bowl eligible. The Tiger's best performance was a 26-10 defeat of Texas A&M.

Memphis had a very good year, even if the events of November left some fans disappointed. Memphis won their first eight games of the season before losing three straight and ending the year with a 63-0 win over SMU. During their win streak, the Tigers managed to beat Bowling Green, South Florida, and, most impressively, Ole Miss. Navy snapped the streak with a dominant performance in the Liberty Bowl. Next, the Tigers lost a heart-breaker at Houston. Finally, Memphis was badly beaten by Temple.

Auburn is a flawed team, particularly struggling in the passing game. However, their roster is full of talent and can play up to their competition. Memphis plays better offense than they do defense and have one of the country's best quarterbacks. However, twice they have collapsed after failing to overcome adversity. If Memphis can avoid mistakes, they should find a way to win.
  • Memphis (9-3) over Auburn (6-6), 35-30
Belk Bowl: An intriguing quarterback battle awaits before Mississippi State (4-4 SEC West) and North Carolina State (3-5 ACC Atlantic) do battle. Dak Prescott leads his Bulldogs while Jacoby Brissett heads the Wolfpack. Prescott has been the rock of this Mississippi State team, leading not only in passing yards but in rushing yards as well. Good defense has also been key to the Bulldogs' success. Brissett and NC State have been more erratic, winning just three of their last eight games after winning their first four against a relatively weak beginning slate. The Bulldogs have been a better team this season, and should be better again this afternoon.
  • Mississippi State (8-4) over North Carolina State (7-5), 38-24
Music City Bowl: Louisville (5-3 ACC Atlantic) and Texas A&M (4-4 SEC West) meet this year in Nashville. Both teams have had similar seasons, respectable but not spectacular. A&M began their season with a five-game winning streak, beating Arizona State, Arkansas, and Mississippi State along the way. Their performance declined over the second half of the season, winning only three of their final seven. By contrast, Louisville's season started by losing their first three games before winning seven of their last nine. It should be noted, however, that three of the Cardinals' five losses were to Houston, Clemson, and Florida State (the other two were to Auburn and Pitt). The losses to Houston and Clemson (who have one loss between them) came by a combined six points. Both teams utilize balanced offenses that lean towards the pass but also rely on good defense in their best performances. The Aggies may have the edge in talent that gives them the advantage here.
  • Texas A&M (8-4) over Louisville (7-5), 31-24
Wisconsin has lost all six of the previous matchups in the
series against USC. Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Holiday Bowl: USC (6-3 Pac-12 South) and Wisconsin (6-2 Big Ten West) won't win roses, but can win in San Diego this postseason. This is the first time since 1963 that the two schools have met in a bowl game.

Wisconsin finished the season with nine wins, although this may not be as impressive as it sounds. Not a single of those nine teams the Badgers defeated finished this season with a winning record. However, Wisconsin's defense performed admirably in their losses to Iowa and Northwestern. Their other loss was to playoff-team Alabama.

USC's season went like a Disneyland roller coaster with its highs and lows. Often lopsided losses to Stanford, Washington, Notre Dame, and Oregon were partially offset with blowout wins over Arizona State, Utah, and UCLA. The Trojans also beat Cal. USC ended the season losing badly to Stanford in a rematch Pac-12 title game.

Unusual for recent times, Wisconsin's running game has been rather middling this season, while their passing attack has taken the more important role in their offense. The Badger defense is very good, having allowed fewer points than any other team in the country. USC's defense isn't quite as strong, but can't hold a game on their own. The Trojans, who also have a more pass-heavy offense, need good play from their quarterback to compete against the best opponents. Either team can win this game, but Wisconsin needs to contain the Trojan offense to come out victorious.
  • Wisconsin (9-3) over 25 USC (8-5), 24-17
Peach Bowl: Two teams with an old history meet when Houston (7-1 American West) and Florida State (6-2 ACC Atlantic) kick off in Atlanta. Both schools began their programs around the same time (Houston in 1946 and FSU in 1947) and played regularly between 1960 and 1978. Of the sixteen games the two schools have played, Houston has won 12, FSU has won twice, and two games have ended in ties. Among all the teams FSU has played at least eight times, the Seminoles have the lowest winning percentage against Houston. This is the first time the teams will play another in a bowl game.

Houston's season will be remembered as one of the best in school history. The Cougars won all their games but one on their way to an American conference title. Somehow, the Cougars managed to lose 20-17 against Connecticut late in the season. However, wins against Louisville, Cincinnati, Memphis, Navy, and Temple testify to the Cougars' claim to being the best team in the state of Texas.

Florida State's claim to being the best team in the state of Florida is without dispute. On their way to another 10-win season, the Seminoles defeated Miami, South Florida and Florida (the latter two in conclusive fashion). Like Houston, FSU also lost inexplicably at one point, during their last trip to Atlanta (a 22-16 loss to Georgia Tech). The only other loss FSU suffered was to semifinalist Clemson on the road. The Seminole offense, led by star running back Dalvin Cook, improved after making a quarterback change mid-season.

For Houston, the key to winning involves the containment of Cook while establishing their own running game. Both teams are equipped with very good defenses (particularly Florida State) and capable, balanced offenses. The Florida State defense will need to be on their game to stop Houston's play-making quarterback.
  • 9 Florida State (10-2) over 18 Houston (12-1), 30-23
Orange Bowl: The first of the national semifinal games will be played by two teams that met in last year's Russell Athletic Bowl. Top-ranked Clemson (8-0 ACC Atlantic) defeated Oklahoma (8-1 Big 12) by a score of 40-6 just over a year ago in Orlando. This year, a different outcome is expected.

Clemson is the only undefeated team in the country after a fantastic, nearly error-free season. Only four opponents (Louisville, Notre Dame, South Carolina, and North Carolina) held Clemson to a margin-of-victory smaller than 10 points. Oftentimes, the Tigers seemed to run and pass at will while their defense smothered opposing offenses. Clemson's list of weakness is as short as any team in the country.

Oklahoma also had a great season, marred by just one (albeit embarrassing) loss. The Sooners' good fortune began with a remarkable comeback overtime win over Tennessee on Rocky Top. However, a 24-17 loss to Texas left many wondering whether the Sooners were a nationally competitive team. OU struck back, crushing their next four opponents, before beating Baylor and TCU in competitive games. The Sooners ended their year with a blowout win over archrival Oklahoma State.

Not only has the Sooner offense been nearly unstoppable for most of the year, but their defense has been difficult to move against as well. However, if any team can beat Oklahoma (besides Texas), it is Clemson.
  • 4 Oklahoma (11-1) over 1 Clemson (13-0), 41-38
The Big Ten Champions have frequently defied expectations
this season. Aaron Doster, USA TODAY Sports
Cotton Bowl: The second semifinal game will likely be a more defensive affair. Alabama (7-1 SEC West) and Michigan State (7-1 Big Ten East) managed to make it through two of college football's toughest divisions with just one loss apiece. Like Clemson and Oklahoma, these two schools last met in a blowout in Orlando (Alabama won the 2011 Citrus Bowl, 49-7).

Alabama opened the season with a solid win over Wisconsin. However, just a couple weeks later, the Crimson Tide fell at home to Ole Miss, 43-37, after a host of turnovers doomed their efforts. The Tide pounded their next five opponents before needing a late score to overcome Tennessee. From then out, Alabama impressed, battering LSU, Mississippi State, and Auburn on their way to a 29-15 win over Florida in the SEC title game.

Michigan State began their season with eight-straight victories, however, it never seemed to be easy. The Spartans won close games over Oregon, Purdue, Rutgers, and, most remarkably, Michigan during this run. A one-point, controversial loss to Nebraska (who ended the season with seven losses) ended the Spartans' undefeated season. But Michigan State kept battling, as they went on to defeat Ohio State 17-14 in the Horseshoe with an impressive defensive performance. In their last appearance, the Spartans beat Iowa with a late, game-sealing touchdown drive in the Big Ten Championship Game.

Neither Alabama or Michigan State possesses a high-output offense comparable to those of the other semifinalists. However, both play competently, with Alabama having a very good ground game and Michigan State playing very well at the quarterback position. Both defenses rank among the best in the nation. In many aspects, the Crimson Tide appear to have an edge. However, Michigan State seems to excel at finding ways to win. The Spartans will need to hit all their strengths to advance to the national title game.
  • 3 Michigan State (12-1) over 2 Alabama (12-1), 24-21

Monday, December 28, 2015

Bowl Predictions: Monday and Tuesday

The final week of bowl season begins with a half-dozen games in two days.

An old rivalry revives when Navy and Pitt hit the gridiron.
Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
Military Bowl: Navy (7-1 American West) and Pitt (6-2 ACC Coastal) meet for the 40th time when they kick off in Annapolis this afternoon. The two schools played regularly between 1954 and 1989, when both teams were nearby independents. Pitt leads the series with 22 wins to Navy's 14 (three occasions have the teams tied). Incidentally, this year's game will be played on Navy's home field.

Pitt's season has varied, although they usually play opponents closely, regardless of quality. The Panthers nearly beat Iowa and North Carolina, but struggled against Virginia and Georgia Tech. Excellence may not define Pitt, but competence does.

Navy's ten-win record reflects the Midshipmen's success this year. During the season, Navy sunk South Florida and Memphis, but were easily defeated by both Notre Dame and Houston (their two best opponents). Navy swept their two academy rivals, even if they were outplayed by Army in the regular season finale.

Pitt should have their hands full against Navy's highly effective triple-option offense. The Panthers will need a good performance from their own running game to keep up. However, this game should be competitive barring an outbreak of turnovers or catastrophic errors.
  • 21 Navy (10-2) over Pittsburgh (8-4), 35-28
Quick Lane Bowl: Detroit hosts two comparably average teams in Central Michigan (6-2 MAC West) and Minnesota (2-6 Big Ten West). Despite their seven losses, Minnesota was granted bowl eligibility due to a shortage of six-win teams. However, perhaps the Golden Gophers should not be dismissed as one of the bowl season's worst teams. The Gophers narrowly lost to TCU, Michigan, and Iowa, although they failed to pick up any impressive victories. Central Michigan also played respectably against good opponents, nearly upsetting Western Michigan and Toledo. The Chippewas' best outing as a 29-19 win over Northern Illinois. Both teams share a similar style; they lack great offenses but each field good defenses. Both teams have trouble moving the ball on the ground (although Central Michigan's more unbalanced with a better passing attack and an inferior ground game). Experience and coaching could be the advantage that gains Minnesota another win.
  • Minnesota (5-7) over Central Michigan (7-5), 24-20
Armed Forces Bowl: Offenses will take the spotlight when Air Force (6-2 MW Mountain) faces California (4-5 Pac-12 North) in Fort Worth. Air Force, with their difficult-to-stop triple-option, has one of the country's most productive rushing attacks. Cal's West Coast offense is one of the most prolific aerial attacks. The Golden Bear offense is more balanced, as their ground game is better than the Falcons' passing game. However, the Air Force defense has played better than Cal's this year. Expect a close game that could be decided by a late score.
  • Air Force (8-5) over California (7-5), 41-38
Baylor ended the regular season with an embarrassing loss but
can enter the off-season with a solid bowl victory.
JAY JANNER / AMERICAN-STATESMAN
Russell Athletic Bowl: North Carolina (8-0 ACC Coastal) and Baylor (6-3 Big 12) will take the field in Orlando with 20 wins between them. However, this might not be the close game between two successful teams one might hope for.

North Carolina began their season with a turnover-plagued loss to South Carolina. After this inexplicable loss, the Tar Heels reeled off 11-straight wins and won the ACC Coastal. During their run of victories, UNC's performances varied, interspersing solid victories with narrow wins and magnificent blowouts. Clemson ended the Tar Heels' win streak with a 45-37 victory in the ACC title game.

Baylor won their first eight games, but injuries took their toll by the season's end. The Bear's first taste of defeat was against Oklahoma, although they managed to recover with a win over Oklahoma State the next week. An overtime loss to TCU knocked the Bears out of Big 12 title contention while a shocking loss to Texas ended Baylor's regular season on a sour note.

North Carolina has a good defense and an even-better offense. Baylor once had a great offense, but injuries have damaged their ability to compete. UNC should take care of Baylor.
  • 10 North Carolina (11-2) over 17 Baylor (9-3), 45-28
Arizona Bowl: Unusually, two teams from the same conference will meet each other in a bowl game. Colorado State (5-3 MW Mountain) and Nevada (4-4 MW West) are both from the Mountain West, but are from opposite divisions and did not play another this season. Colorado State has won 11 of 13 games in this series and 10 of 12 over the last 18 years. Both teams may below below average in the FBS, but should be fairly evenly-matched. A more balanced offense should favor the Rams over the Wolfpack.
  • Colorado State (7-5) over Nevada (6-6), 31-24
Texas Bowl: LSU (5-3 SEC West) and Texas Tech (4-5 Big 12) will kick off in Houston for the day's final game.

LSU began the season winning their first seven games. The key to the Tigers' success was their running game, which averaged well over 200 yards per game during this stretch. Their most impressive wins came against Mississippi State on the road and Florida at home. The Tigers even defeated Western Kentucky in a 48-20 rout (the only embarrassing result in an otherwise stellar season for the Hilltoppers). By this time, the Tigers were ranked second in the polls, but then came the Alabama game, in which the Tiger offense was shut down and LSU fell, 30-16. The shell-shocked Tigers dropped their next two games to Arkansas and Ole Miss and were soundly beaten on both occasions. LSU recovered in their season finale, beating Texas A&M 19-7.

By comparison, Texas Tech's season went up-and-down. The Red Raiders beat their first three opponents, including Arkansas, before losing the next two against Baylor and TCU. Tech then beat Iowa State and Kansas, but followed this with losses to Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, and West Virginia. The Red Raiders out-dueled Kansas State and Texas in their final games to end the regular season with seven wins.

This game will feature a sharp contrast of offensive styles. Texas Tech utilizes an extremely prolific air raid offense, while LSU prefers a traditional, smash-mouth running game. It's unlikely that LSU can completely contain Tech's high-powered offense, although their superior defense should give them the edge in this matchup.
  • 20 LSU (8-3) over Texas Tech (7-5), 38-31

Saturday, December 26, 2015

Bowl Predictions: After Christmas

Marshall has finished with 10 or more wins in each of the last
two seasons. They must defeat UConn to make it three years
in a row. Falecia Collier/Collier Photography
This Saturday is a big day for college football, with six bowls on our docket. None of the teams are ranked, but its another day full of football, so I'm not complaining. Let's preview what'll be going on.

St. Petersburg Bowl: UConn (4-4 American East) will seek to earn their first winning season since 2010 when they find Marshall (6-2 C-USA East) at Tropicana Field. Anticipate a defensive struggle, as both teams play better defense than they do offense. However, the Thundering Herd's superior scoring attack should raise them above the Huskies in this matchup.
  • Marshall (9-3) over Connecticut (6-6), 21-17
Sun Bowl: Those who love passing offenses shouldn't miss Washington State (6-3 Pac-12 North) face Miami (5-3 ACC Coastal) in El Paso. Both schools possess prolific aerial attacks, particularly Washington State (who's passing game is ranked highest in the country), although both are paired to mediocre ground games (Washington State's is ranked worst in the nation). Both defenses are comparably average. All accounted for, hope for two similarly built, fun-to-watch, and evenly-matched teams to play close into the final quarter.
  • Washington State (8-4) over Miami (8-4), 38-34
Heart of Dallas Bowl: Expect something different when Washington (4-5 Pac-12 North) plays Southern Miss (7-1 C-USA West). Washington finished with a losing record in one of the best conferences, the Pac-12, while Southern Miss won their division of Conference USA, a lower-tier FBS conference. Against another, strength will face strength. The Huskies's strength is their resilient, steadfast defense, who frustrated all of the Pac-12's most high-powered offenses. The Golden Eagles excel offensively, running effectively, but passing even better. Offensively, Washington has not been so efficient on offense, so expect them to have issues with Southern Miss's respectable defense. If the Husky offense puts together a decent game, their defense should have enough to ensure a victory.
  • Washington (6-6) over Southern Mississippi (9-4), 31-21
Pinstripe Bowl: Duke (4-4 ACC Coastal) and Indiana (2-6 Big Ten East) are playing an intriguing ballgame, but not on the basketball court. In fact, it will be in Yankee Stadium, but it won't feature a baseball diamond. The Hoosiers have one of the Big Ten's best offenses, but they are attached to one of the weakest defenses from the conference. In sharp contrast, Duke does not excel at any certain aspect, but they are well-coached and lack a great weakness like Indiana. This game could swing any number of ways, although better preparation could give the Blue Devils an advantage.
  • Duke (7-5) over Indiana (6-6), 40-34
The Hokies can send Coach Beamer out a winner if they
manage to slow down the Tulsa passing game.
James Lang-USA TODAY Sports
Independence Bowl: Frank Beamer will end his career in Shreveport, where Virginia Tech (4-4 ACC Coastal) meets Tulsa (3-5 American West). Beamer's fist bowl game was held at the same site in 1993, when the Hokies defeated Indiana 45-20. This year's edition of the Virginia Tech Hokies is not one of the best from Beamer's tenure. However, they won't face one of their best opponents when they play the Golden Hurricane. Tulsa has one of the country's most productive passing attacks; in all other aspects, they are highly flawed. Virginia Tech is also flawed, although to a lesser extent. The Hokies should come out on top given a few playmakers have good days.
  • Virginia Tech (6-6) over Tulsa (6-6), 35-24
Foster Farms Bowl: The day will end with an odd game between Nebraska (3-5 Big Ten West) and UCLA (5-4 Pac-12 South). Due to a shortage of six-win teams, the Cornhuskers have made it to a bowl despite finishing the season with just five wins against seven losses. However, don't consider the Huskers to be one of the worst or least-talented bowl teams. Nebraska has suffered many close losses this season, many within the game's final minute. Yet, they also managed to defeat playoff semifinalist Michigan State in controversial fashion. UCLA began the season with much hope, but finished seemingly far from their aspirations. Despite winning eight games, three blowout losses (and a fourth loss to Washington State) have left the Bruins somewhat disappointed. The Bruins should still be the better team to take the field in Santa Clara. However, they might be lacking in motivation playing seven-loss Nebraska. A disparity in motivation and preparation could favor Nebraska enough to give them the edge.
  • Nebraska (5-7) over UCLA (8-4), 30-27

Thursday, December 17, 2015

Bowl Predictions: Before Christmas

It's the most wonderful time of the year. That's because it's bowl season, and we'll have college football on television just about every day from Saturday until the second Monday of January. Follow my picks live at ESPN's Bowl Mania.

The Lobos knocked off Boise State for the first time in school
history earlier this season. Brian Losness-USA TODAY Sports
New Mexico Bowl: Arizona (3-6 Pac-12 South) and New Mexico (5-3 MW Mountain) are set to clash in this season's first bowl game. The two schools had long shared a border rivalry and a conference, but have only played irregularly since 1977. This year's game will be the 67th meeting between the Wildcats and the Lobos, and the first since 2008. Arizona leads the series 43-20-3 overall, although the two schools have split the last 26 games with 13 wins each. The Lobos are ending an eight-year bowl drought with their appearance in a bowl this season. Incidentally, New Mexico will be playing this game at their home field, University Stadium, in Albuquerque.

Arizona has been one of this season's more disappointing teams. Coming off a successful 2014 campaign and returning several key players, the Wildcats were ranked for the first four weeks this season. Injuries took some toll, but the Cats usually faltered on the biggest stage. On their worst days, the Wildcats dropped blowout losses to UCLA, Stanford, Washington, and Arizona State. A double-overtime win over Utah, which granted them bowl eligibility, was undoubtedly the brightest moment in Arizona's season.

After nearly a decade of losing seasons, the up-and-down year of 2015 ended as a surprising success for the New Mexico Lobos. The Lobos lost badly to Tulsa and Arizona State but managed to upset both Boise State and Air Force by capitalizing on turnovers. UNM ended just one win shy of winning their division and making an appearance in their conference championship game.

The strength of Arizona is their prolific offense, although their performance has been seriously diminished at times when quarterback Anu Solomon, who has suffered from periodic injuries, is not on the field. New Mexico relies heavily on their steady rushing attack, as they generally don't excel in other aspects of the game. The outcome of this game will likely be decided by how well Arizona copes with their injuries and personnel shortages.
  • Arizona (6-6) over New Mexico (7-5), 28-21
Las Vegas Bowl: Another rivalry returns when Utah (6-3 Pac-12 South) and BYU reignite the Holy War in Nevada's Sin City. Barring a break period during the Second World War, the Utes and the Cougars had played every season from 1922 until 2013. The series was slated to pick up again next season, but the bowl planners ended up renewing the game a year early. Utah leads the overall series 54-31-4.

Good defense carried Utah to a nine-win record and a tie for first place in the Pac-12 South. The Utes began their season with six-straight victories, including wins over Michigan, Oregon, Cal, and Arizona State. For a week, the Utes were ranked third in the country. However, with the following week came a blowout loss to USC and the Utes have been out of the spotlight since. Narrow losses to Arizona and UCLA prevented Utah from appearing in the Pac-12 title game in December.

Like the Utes, the Cougars compiled a 9-3 record, although they managed it as an independent. BYU started their season with a fantastic Hail Mary-finish against Nebraska. The next week they won in remarkably similar fashion against Boise State. The Cougars then lost to UCLA before being shutout by Michigan in Ann Arbor. BYU won seven of their last eight, only losing to Missouri.

This game should be a defensive struggle. Both squads have reasonably good defenses paired to unbalanced and flawed offenses. Having battled through a tough Pac-12 schedule, the Utes may be slightly more prepared to win this bowl game.
  • 22 Utah (9-3) over BYU (9-3), 19-16
Camellia Bowl: Appalachian State (7-1 Sun Belt) will be making their first bowl appearance in history when they face Ohio (5-3 MAC East) in Montgomery. Ohio has done well this season, but App State has had an unqualified success. The Mountaineers have ten wins and just two losses (to undefeated Clemson and Sun Belt Champion Arkansas State) in their second season as FBS members. The key to App State's success has been an efficient, run-based offense and good defense. Ohio has no major weakness nor any tremendous strengths. Appalachian State should come out with another win here.
  • Appalachian State (10-2) over Ohio (8-4), 35-21
Cure Bowl: After winning just two games over the previous three years, few would have anticipated Georgia State (5-3 Sun Belt) would reach six wins and a bowl game before this season. The Panthers will be appearing in their first bowl game in history after beginning their football program in 2010. Their first bowl opponent will be San José State (4-4 MW West), who, due to a shortage of six-win teams, have been granted bowl eligibility despite finishing with just five wins. Georgia State began this season poorly, winning just two of their first six games. The low-points came in a 23-20 loss to miserable Charlotte and a 41-33 loss to FCS-team Liberty. The Panthers rebounded with three-straight conference wins. Then, in their final game of the regular season, the Panthers demolished in-state rival Georgia Southern 34-7 to become bowl eligible; so far, this stands as the greatest victory in the young programs's history. Although they lack a winning record, San José State may not be the worst bowl team this year. The Spartans had a few narrow losses and two were to Auburn and BYU. The Spartans' 10-point win over New Mexico was their most impressive. Watch this game to see Georgia State's entertaining air raid offense. The Panthers will have their work cut out for them again to keep up with SJSU's more balanced offensive attack.
  • San José State (5-7) over Georgia State (6-6), 35-28
Arkansas State was easily the most excellent team in the Sun
Belt. The Red Wolves defeated their conference opponents
by an average score of 49-28. Stephen B. Thornton
New Orleans Bowl: Yet another old rivalry will be revived when Arkansas State (8-0 Sun Belt) plays Louisiana Tech (6-2 C-USA West). The Red Wolves (then known as the Indians) played the Bulldogs regularly from 1956 to 1998 but haven't met again since. Louisiana Tech leads the series 25-12 overall.

Arkansas State has established itself as the most consistently successful Sun Belt program of the last half-decade. That's why it wasn't so surprising to see the Red Wolves run undefeated through their conference schedule on their way to a nine-win season. Arkansas State's three losses came to USC, Missouri, and Toledo, although only the loss to Missouri was close. The Red Wolves won every conference game by at least 10 points.

Louisiana Tech had a good year as well, even if they didn't match the success of Arkansas State. The Bulldogs lost four times, including close games to Western Kentucky and Kansas State. Louisiana Tech lost out on a chance to meet WKU again in the C-USA title game when they were blown out by Southern Miss in the regular season finale. An impressive 45-16 win over Middle Tennessee was the high point of the Bulldogs' season.

The Red Wolves depend on their reliable ground game to outscore opponents. Louisiana Tech passes the ball with similar efficiency. Neither team is particularly excellent on defense, so we should see a high-scoring game if we're lucky.
  • Arkansas State (9-3) over Louisiana Tech (8-4), 41-34
Miami Beach Bowl: Western Kentucky (8-0 C-USA East) meets South Florida (6-2 American East) in one of the more intriguing early bowl games. South Florida's head coach, Willie Taggart, who grew up in nearby Bradenton, will be facing the school he formerly coached and his alma mater, Western Kentucky. Taggart left WKU in 2012 to accept the South Florida position.

Western Kentucky has had their best season as an FBS team this year, winning 11 games and going undefeated in conference play. The Hilltoppers' two losses were a close game against Indiana and a blowout loss to LSU (although even that game was close at the half). Louisiana Tech was the only C-USA team to challenge WKU; every other conference team was felled by 16 points or more.

South Florida was a team that seemed to improve as the year went on. The Bulls started the season 1-3, with respectable losses to Florida State and Memphis as well as a more inexplicable defeat against Maryland. USF went on to win seven of their final eight, including blowout victories over Temple and Cincinnati.

Western Kentucky possesses one of the nation's most productive passing attacks. The running game and defense haven't been too important when the Hilltoppers put 50 or more against their average conference opponent. South Florida is as reliant on their ground game as Western Kentucky is on the pass, although they aren't quite so prolific as the Hilltoppers on offense. However, the Bulls' defense is superior to WKU's. Like any team, the Bulls must limit the Hilltopper offense to defeat them.
  • South Florida (8-4) over 25 Western Kentucky (11-2), 34-27
Potato Bowl: This year, Boise hosts Akron (5-3 MAC East) and Utah State (5-3 MW Mountain) for its bowl game. The Zips will be making their first bowl appearance since 2005. To become eligible, the Zips needed one of the MAC's better defenses. The Akron offense was less formidable, ranking near the bottom of the FBS. Utah State is a very average team in most respects, though to their credit the Aggies blew out Boise State and played close in losses against Utah, New Mexico, and Air Force. The Aggies seem to play better against their best competition, so look for them to have the edge against Akron.
  • Utah State (6-6) over Akron (7-5), 20-14
Toledo lead the all-time series against Temple 7-3. This is
the first time the two schools will meet in the postseason.
Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports
Boca Raton Bowl: It seems appropriate for Temple (7-1 American East) and Toledo (6-2 MAC West) to play each other this postseason. Both teams had historically good seasons and were ranked for a good portion of the year. Both teams upset a major out-of-conference opponent. But neither ended up champions of their own conference.

Temple won their first seven games this year, including a dominant 27-10 victory over Penn State. The Owls then lost a close game against Notre Dame and later were blown out by USF. However, they followed their loss to South Florida with wins over Memphis and UConn, advancing them to the American title game. Temple ended up losing to Houston, foiled by costly turnovers.

Toledo also won their first seven contests, most notably a 16-12 win against Arkansas. The Rockets' first fell to Northern Illinois and ended their season with another narrow loss to Western Michigan. Toledo was one win away from appearing in the MAC title game against a Bowling Green team they handled easily earlier this season.

Both teams have serviceable offenses, but their two strengths are their defenses. Another strong showing by the Owls defense could keep the Rockets from lifting off.
  • Temple (10-3) over Toledo (9-2), 27-20
Poinsettia Bowl: Boise State (5-3 MW Mountain) and Northern Illinois (6-2 MAC West) will both be looking for their ninth win of the year Tuesday in San Diego. A win could make up for two somewhat disappointing season endings. The Broncos always enter a season with high expectations, but ended up losing to BYU, Utah State, New Mexico, and Air Force. Although the Broncos did defeat Washington, Virginia, and Colorado State, they ended no where near their preseason goals. NIU began the year 2-3, with close losses to Ohio State, Boston College, and Central Michigan. They followed this with seven straight wins before dropping a close game to Ohio. Injuries, particularly to the quarterback position, had reduced the Huskie offense dramatically, and NIU has easily defeated by Bowling Green in the MAC title game. Boise State should have more pieces in place and enough to beat Northern Illinois.
  • Boise State (8-4) over Northern Illinois (8-5), 31-14
GoDaddy Bowl: Bowling Green (7-1 MAC East) and Georgia Southern (6-2 Sun Belt) match up for this season's bowl in Mobile. Bowling Green ended a great ten-win season with a win over Northern Illinois and a MAC championship. The Falcons' three losses were a blowout against Tennessee, a close loss to Memphis, and a sizable defeat against Toledo. However, most conference opponents were handily vanquished by the Falcons' ruthless aerial attack. Georgia Southern started the year inauspiciously, being shutout by West Virginia 44-0. The Eagles won seven of their next eight (losing in a blowout to Appalachian State) before losing a heartbreaker in overtime against Georgia. The Eagles won one more game before ending the regular season with an embarrassing loss to Georgia State. Georgia Southern's triple option offense can be difficult to stop, however, Bowling Green should be one class above the Eagles this year.
  • Bowling Green (10-3) over Georgia Southern (8-4), 38-24
Bahamas Bowl: Football heads to the archipelagos for Christmas Eve's two bowl games. Middle Tennessee (6-2 C-USA East) and Western Michigan (6-2 MAC West) will go to battle in Nassau. Middle Tennessee began the year 3-5 before winning their last four (including a 27-24 win over Marshall). Among the Blue Raiders' five losses were blowouts against three good teams (Alabama, Western Kentucky, and Louisiana Tech) and two close losses against Illinois and Vanderbilt. The Broncos were also blown out three times against good or decent teams (Georgia Southern, Ohio State, and Bowling Green) but lost respectably against Michigan State and Northern Illinois. The Broncos ended their regular season on a high note with a narrow win over Toledo. Both teams feature the passing game as a strength. Middle Tennessee has a better defense, although it's just in the top half of Conference USA. This could have the potential to be another high-scoring barnburner in New Providence.
  • Western Michigan (7-5) over Middle Tennessee (7-5), 45-42
Hawaii Bowl: San Diego State (8-0 MW West) and Cincinnati (4-4 American East) head to Oahu to take part in the island's annual bowl game. San Diego State started the season poorly, losing their first three games against FBS competition (two blowouts against Cal and Penn State and an embarassing home loss to South Alabama). However, the Aztecs ended their season with a nine-game winning streak (shorter than only Clemson's and Alabama's) and a win over Air Force in the Mountain West title game. Cincinatti had a more up-and-down season. The Bearcats followed their narrow loss to Memphis with a good win over Miami. After that came a loss against BYU, but that was followed by a blowout win over UConn. Cincinnati suffered a heartbreaking loss against Houston but were dominated by South Florida. San Diego State's strength is the Mountain West's best defense and a pounding ground game. Cincinnati prefers to throw the ball (which they do very well), but lack a particularly strong defense. Defense and game management should favor the Aztecs again in this matchup.
  • San Diego State (10-3) over Cincinnati (7-5), 34-24

Wednesday, December 9, 2015

Saturday in Review: Championship Week

Bowling Green won their title game by a wider margin than
any other conference champion. The Falcon defense played
better than expected, holding the often prolific NIU offense to
just one touchdown (the Huskies also scored off a pick-six).
Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
The champions of 2015 have claimed their crowns, the bowl schedule has been arranged, and all that's left of the regular season is the Army-Navy game this upcoming weekend. Only one team, Alabama, repeated as a conference winner, but there weren't many upsets this last Saturday or champions that would have surprised us this preseason.

Bowling Green sealed up the MAC with a dominating performance over Northern Illinois. In total offensive yards, the Falcons almost doubled the Huskies, who were relying on a third-string quarterback due to injuries. The win marked Bowling Green's 12th MAC title.

Early, critical takeaways helped Houston defeat Temple for the American title. The Cougar defense bent, but didn't break while holding the Owls to a season-low in points scored. Good ball control by Houston, who did not commit a turnover, also negated one of Temple's usual advantages.

The biggest upset of the week wasn't in a championship game. It was when Texas knocked off Baylor, who were forced to use a fourth-string quarterback after an unfortunate string of injuries. The Bear passing game, usually something fearsome, looked totally inept, even though their rushing attack ran all over the Longhorn defense. Turnovers and missed field goals ultimately doomed Baylor and eliminated them from contention for a top bowl game.

Western Kentucky pulled away late from Southern Miss, winning their first conference title since joining the FBS in 2008. In the end, the Golden Eagles couldn't keep up with the Hilltopper offense. The Hilltoppers' Conference USA title was their first conference championship of any kind since 2002, despite being quite competitive through most of the last decade.

Arkansas State clinched sole possession of the Sun Belt title with their blowout win over Texas State. In the last five seasons, the Red Wolves have topped their conference four times.

The Alabama defense was too strong for Florida, as the Crimson Tide captured the first back-to-back SEC title since Tennessee in 1998. The Gator defense played well, considering they were on the field for over 43 minutes, but the offense couldn't get enough going to hang on with the Crimson Tide. Thanks to a punt return touchdown early in the second quarter, the Gators actually led until late in the first half. However, the Alabama defense held Florida to just three yard during the second and third quarters, and the Alabama offense was eventually able to wear down the Gators. The Crimson Tide held the Florida offense to just seven first downs and did not allow a third down conversion all game. Alabama has now won four of eight championship games against Florida and are one title shy of tying the Gators for most SEC Championship Game victories.

Clemson's Deshaun Watson had his way with UNC, throwing
for 289 and running for 131 against the Tar Heel defense.
Jeff Siner - charlotteobserver.com
The San Diego State Aztecs returned to the top of the Mountain West with their narrow win over Air Force. The game was closely-contested throughout, with it ultimately being decided by a fourth-quarter field goal. The Aztecs held strong late in the game, smothering the Falcons' final attempts to score.

Stanford became California's second in-state conference champion after their victory against USC in the Pac-12 title game. The Trojans were unable to contain Stanford running back Christian McCaffrey, who accumulated 207 rushing yards, 149 return yards, 105 receiving yards, 11 passing yards, and touchdowns of all three offensive types against the USC defense and special teams.

The breaks mostly went Carolina's way, but Clemson was able to overcome UNC for their first ACC title since 2011. A controversial call overturned a late onside kick recovery by North Carolina, but Clemson generally outplayed the Tar Heels through most of the night. Due to the conclusion of the Big Ten title game, the Tigers will enter the postseason as the only unbeaten team in the FBS.

Michigan State reigns as champions of the aforementioned Big Ten after a thrilling victory over the Iowa Hawkeyes in Indianapolis. An epic defensive struggle, the game was led 13-9 by Iowa with 9:31 remaining. Then ensued a remarkable nine minute, four second drive in which the Spartans punched in the game-winning touchdown while leaving just 27 seconds left for Iowa to retaliate. The Green and White defense wouldn't let that happen, and the Spartans earned their spot for a playoff appearance.

Championships:
  • MAC: Bowling Green (10-3) over Northern Illinois (8-5), 37-30 34-14
  • American: 22 Temple (10-3) over 19 Houston (12-1), 24-17 24-13
  • Conference USA: Western Kentucky (11-2) over Southern Mississippi (9-4), 45-41 45-28
  • SEC: 18 Florida (10-3) over 2 Alabama (12-1), 14-13 29-15
  • Mountain West: San Diego State (10-3) over Air Force (8-5), 28-21 27-24
  • Pac-12: 7 Stanford (11-2) over 20 USC (8-5), 31-24 41-22
  • ACC: 10 North Carolina (11-2) over 1 Clemson (13-0), 34-31 45-37
  • Big Ten: 4 Iowa (12-1) over 5 Michigan State (12-1), 28-24 16-13
    State of Florida: 
    • Florida Atlantic (3-9), END OF SEASON
    • 9 Florida State (10-2), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Miami (8-4), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • South Florida (8-4), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • UCF (0-12), END OF SEASON
    • FIU (5-7), END OF SEASON
    Southeastern Conference:
    • Arkansas (7-5), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Auburn (6-6), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Georgia (9-3), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Kentucky (5-7)END OF SEASON
    • 21 LSU (8-3), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 13 Mississippi (9-3), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Mississippi State (8-4), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Missouri (5-7)END OF SEASON
    • South Carolina (3-9)END OF SEASON
    • 25 Tennessee (8-4), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Texas A&M (8-4), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Vanderbilt (4-8)END OF SEASON
    Top 25:
    • 12 Baylor (9-3) over Texas (5-7), 49-13 23-17
    • 3 Oklahoma (11-1), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 6 Ohio State (11-1), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 8 Notre Dame (10-2), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 11 TCU (10-2), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 14 Northwestern (10-2), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 15 Michigan (9-3), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 16 Oregon (9-3), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 17 Oklahoma State (10-2), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 23 Navy (9-2), BYE
    • 24 Utah (9-3), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    Championship Week Record: 4-5 (44%)
    Season Record: 281-82 (77%)

    Friday, December 4, 2015

    Saturday Predictions: Championship Week

    Since beginning their football program in 1894, Temple has
    never won a true conference title. Their game against
    Houston on Saturday is an opportunity to pick up their first.
    Kyle Ross/Icon Sportswire
    This weekend, all the heavyweights from eight conferences across the nation collide to decide their champions. Besides several teams from the Sun Belt and Big 12 (who do not have championship games), the only active teams will be the division winners. Our first game will be played tonight at Ford Field in Detroit. There, Bowling Green will face Northern Illinois for the MAC Championship. This is the only rematch from last year's conference championships (in fact, Alabama is the only other team in the country to repeat as a division winner). In 2014, Northern Illinois ran away with a 51-17 victory over the Falcons. This year, Bowling Green appears to be a better team and is actually favored in this matchup. However, don't be surprised to see the Huskies pull an upset; the NIU program is accustomed to winning big and important games (the Huskies have appeared in all five of the previous MAC title games and have won three of them). Bowling Green's prolific offense should give them the edge as long as they avoid errors.

    Saturday begins with two championship games kicking off at noon. First, Temple will be taking on Houston at TDECU Stadium (the Cougars' home field). This contest pits Temple's stout defense against Houston's stellar offense. The Owl defense must avoid the lapses that doomed them against South Florida, while the Cougars will look to keep away from the kinds of turnovers that lost them the game against UConn. Houston could win this game big if Temple makes too many errors on defense. If the Owls keep the Houston offense in check, they will have the advantage in this game.

    Meanwhile, Southern Miss will battle Western Kentucky for the Conference USA title. WKU will host this game on their campus at L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green. Both teams have high-powered offenses that specialize in the passing attack. Other than two games against SEC defenses (Vanderbilt and LSU), Western Kentucky has scored at least 35 points in every game this year. Similarly, Southern Miss's offense has been nearly unstoppable since mid-October, having outscored their last six opponents by an average margin of 48 to 16. So look out, we could have a barn burner on our hands in this game.

    At 4:00, eyes will turn towards the Georgia Dome in Atlanta to watch the SEC Championship Game. The highly-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide will be heavily favored over their opponents, the Florida Gators. The Alabama offense doesn't dazzle, but it works and does feature a powerful running game with one of the nation's best backs in Derrick Henry. They'll have to work hard against a Gator defense that is among the most talented and best coached in the country. However, Alabama also sports one of the best defenses in the land. Florida, on the other hand, has struggled immensely on the offensive side of the ball for much off the year and especially in the month of November. The Gators' offensive failures are highlighted by their redzone ineptitude, which ranks among the five worst in higher-level football. It's a tall task, but Florida has to make a few plays in critical scenarios and play top-level defense to stand a chance against the Tide.

    San Diego State had an inauspicious 1-3 start to the season,
    with blowout losses to Cal and Penn State as well as a loss to
    South Alabama at home. However, they have rebounding
    impressively and haven't come close to losing since early
    October. Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports
    The next championship game begins later on, when Air Force heads to Qualcomm Stadium to take on the San Diego State Aztecs for the Mountain West title. The Aztecs will get to host the Falcons after a tremendously successful season in which they went undefeated in conference play. SDSU has won eight consecutive games all by a margin of at least two touchdowns. The key to San Diego State's success has been a strong rushing attack and good defense. Air Force has not been nearly so dominant, although when they play their best football they're as good as any in the conference. Air Force wins games when their option offense is running on all cylinders and their defense plays smart ball. Don't look for the ball to move much through the air in this game, but do expect a classic battle between two solid teams.

    Shortly after that game starts, Stanford and USC will kick off in Levi's Stadium of Santa Clara. The Pac-12's two private schools from California have come out on top and will face each other for the second time this season (Stanford won 41-31 at the Coliseum in September). USC has improved since that early loss, although they still have their vulnerabilities. Stanford is still a strong team that's prides itself on its running game and ball control. Beating a talented team twice in one season is difficult, although Stanford has to capability to do it.

    Two championship games will begin at 8:00. Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte will host the ACC Championship Game, where North Carolina will play undefeated Clemson. Since inexplicably losing their season opener to South Carolina in the same stadium, the Tar Heels have won 11-consecutive contests (at times in very impressive fashion). UNC has both one of the nation's best offenses and one of the better defenses. Clemson has had a similar season, except they haven't lost once. The Tigers are very good on both sides of the ball. Both teams are proficient running and passing the ball. This could be one of the best games of the year between two of the best teams, so the winner will emerge with one of the best victories on their way to the playoffs.

    Indianapolis and Lucas Oil Stadium will host the other unbeaten team, Iowa, and their challenger, Michigan State, in the Big Ten Championship Game. The Hawkeyes have managed to stay perfect by depending on their pounding ground game and good defense. Michigan State has lost just once (in rather flukish fashion), but have had many close escapes. The Spartans tend to play to the level of the opposing team but have an offense and a defense capable of winning most games against most opponents. Unlike the Hawkeyes, the Spartans are more dependent on their passing game when on offense. All the trends this season point to this game being very close and hard-fought. The winner will be a worthy contender in the playoffs.

    Finally, keep an eye on the happenings in the Sun Belt, whose champion will be decided this Saturday. If Arkansas State defeats Texas State (in all likelihood, they will), the Red Wolves will win the conference outright. However, in the event Arkansas State loses, they may share the title with up to two other teams. If Georgia Southern beats Georgia State, the Eagles will earn a share of the title, while if Appalachian State knocks out South Alabama, the Mountaineers will get part of the championship.

    Championships:
    • MAC: Bowling Green (9-3) over Northern Illinois (8-4), 37-30
    • American: 22 Temple (10-2) over 19 Houston (11-1), 24-17
    • Conference USA: Western Kentucky (10-2) over Southern Mississippi (9-3), 45-41
    • SEC: 18 Florida (10-2) over 2 Alabama (11-1), 14-13
    • Mountain West: San Diego State (9-3) over Air Force (8-4), 28-21
    • Pac-12: 7 Stanford (10-2) over 20 USC (8-4), 31-24
    • ACC: 10 North Carolina (11-1) over 1 Clemson (12-0), 34-31
    • Big Ten: 4 Iowa (12-0) over 5 Michigan State (11-1), 28-24
    State of Florida:
    • Florida Atlantic (3-9), END OF SEASON
    • 9 Florida State (10-2), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Miami (8-4), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • South Florida (8-4), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • UCF (0-12), END OF SEASON
    • FIU (5-7), END OF SEASON
    Southeastern Conference:
    • Arkansas (7-5), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Auburn (6-6), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Georgia (9-3), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Kentucky (5-7)END OF SEASON
    • 21 LSU (8-3), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 13 Mississippi (9-3), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Mississippi State (8-4), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Missouri (5-7)END OF SEASON
    • South Carolina (3-9)END OF SEASON
    • 25 Tennessee (8-4), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Texas A&M (8-4), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • Vanderbilt (4-8)END OF SEASON
    Top 25:
    • 12 Baylor (9-2) over Texas (4-7), 49-13
    • 3 Oklahoma (11-1), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 6 Ohio State (11-1), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 8 Notre Dame (10-2), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 11 TCU (10-2), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 14 Northwestern (10-2), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 15 Michigan (9-3), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 16 Oregon (9-3), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 17 Oklahoma State (10-2), END OF REGULAR SEASON
    • 23 Navy (9-2), BYE
    • 24 Utah (9-3), END OF REGULAR SEASON